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Petrol Price Likely To Crash To N800/Litre — Marketers

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The price war in the downstream oil sector escalated on Tuesday as major oil marketers sought to offer a lower price compared to the gantry loading cost of “N825 per litre” set by “Dangote Petroleum Refinery.”

This development came after marketers disclosed that the landing cost of “Premium Motor Spirit (petrol)” imported into Nigeria had dropped to “N774.72 per litre.” According to marketers, the ongoing price decline could result in a reduction of pump prices to around “N800 per litre.”

Dealers noted that the “N774.72 per litre” landing cost—which includes various expenses such as shipping, import duties, and exchange rates—represents a significant reduction of “N50.28” from the “N825 per litre” offered at the “Dangote Petroleum Refinery” loading gantry.

Industry stakeholders stated that this situation has triggered a price war, with retail marketers shifting away from refinery products in favor of imported alternatives due to lower pricing.

Findings (by The Punch) further indicated that the drop in landing cost is likely to impact the retail price of petrol and may encourage marketers to resume petrol imports.

“Crude oil is a major component in the production of fuel, so a further reduction in its price would definitely warrant a drop in petrol price, and it is possible to drop to N800 per litre,” the National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chief Ukadike Chinedu, stated.

Recall that last Monday, NNPC dropped its retail petrol price to N860 and N880 per litre from N945 and N965 in Lagos and Abuja, respectively.

NNPC’s petrol price drop followed Dangote refinery’s retail fuel price reduction to N860 and N880 per litre across its retail partners.

The refinery, In its second price reduction in the new year and the third one in a space of two months, reduced its ex-depot petrol price from N890 to N825 per litre to the delight of Nigerians.

But the reduction by NNPC, the country’s largest fuel supplier, sparked a wave of competitive pricing among private marketers seeking to capture the market share in an environment where consumers are highly sensitive to price fluctuations.

The pain of the price reduction was more significant for petrol importers as they lost an average of N2.5bn daily and N75bn monthly due to the PMS price reduction.

But in a swift business survival strategy, these marketers have now secured fresh products at a cheaper cost that is now detrimental to the operations of the refinery.

According to the latest competency centre daily energy data released by the Major Energies Marketers Association of Nigeria and obtained by our correspondent on Tuesday, the on-spot estimated import parity into tanks has reduced to N774.82 per litre, a reduction of N152.56 or 16.5 per cent from the N927.48 per litre quoted on February 21, 2025 (the last energy data on petrol).

The average cost for 30 days also dropped to N864.92 per litre, while on-the-spot sale at the NPSC terminal was N927.53.

The document also noted that the price of Brent crude was benchmarked at $70.36 per barrel, down from $76.48 per barrel quoted on February 21, with an exchange rate of N1,517.24 per dollar. This price was calculated based on 38,000 metric tonnes by the marketers.

This cost is viewed as an improvement for importers, providing private depot owners and independent marketers with an alternative route to profitability and the opportunity to source cheaper products.

Further checks by our correspondent revealed that private depots have effected a price change lower than marketers off taking products from the refinery.

An analysis showed that AA RANO depot has reduced its loading cost to N830 per litre, MENJ Depot now sells at N830, MRS TINCAN sold its products at N830, WOSBAB gave its customers a price estimate of N832, AITEO gave a price of N832 and RAINOIL depot sold its products at N831 per litre.

While marketers that bought two million litres from the Dangote refinery at N825 are selling at N835 per litre, indicating an N1 profit and N4 less than the price offered by private depots.

Commenting on the latest development, an oil and gas expert, Olatide Jeremiah, forecasted that the current situation is likely to compel the refinery to lower its ex-gantry price to attract more customers.

Jeremiah, who is the Chief Executive Officer of petroleumprice.ng, emphasized that, due to ongoing price fluctuations, marketers are increasingly choosing to source products from private depots, where they can expect greater price stability. This shift in preference is because the refinery has implemented two price reductions this year.

Giving a detailed explanation of the situation, he stated, “Last week, prices particularly for petrol and diesel started dropping, and on Thursday, it went below Dangote’s ex-depot price. The refinery price is N825 per litre and marketers will pay N9 for NMDPRA fees and other levies making a total of N834 per liter.

“Even as I speak, marketers that bought from Dangote and still have old stock are seeking at zero profit. So most of the marketers stopped buying. Many depots also started selling N830, even MRS, that get products from Dangote, while marketers at the Dangote refinery sold between N835 or N834 today to finish their stock.

“Other private depots are selling at N830 or N831 per liter. The reason is that private depots got a cheaper product even less than Dangote coastal price of N780. But the landing cost is less than that amount. Another scenario is the MRS and Ardova got their product at the coastal price which will enable them to sell at N834.

“The expense to the truck from Dangote refinery is between N40 to N45, so it is not a good deal. I can tell you at the Dangote depot today, the place was deserted, marketers trading there have now switched to private depots. This is likely to force Dangote to reduce its price.

“Rumours are already spreading because private depots are now making good sales. The back and forth of prices has made marketers uncomfortable. They are counting their loss and that is why they now patronise private depots where there is a bit of stability.”

On Monday, oil marketers under the aegis of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria condemned the constant reduction of fuel prices, saying marketers are still counting losses.

Despite deregulation, PETROAN said there is a need for a regulation that will make it mandatory that prices can only be changed after six months.

In a statement by PETROAN Publicity Secretary Joseph Obele, the association also made a U-turn, saying imports should be encouraged to put an end to monopoly.

 

Credit: The Punch

BIG STORY

BREAKING : DSS Files Charge Against Sowore, Facebook, X Over False Claim Against Tinubu

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The Department of State Services (DSS) has filed a five-count charge against Omoyele Sowore, politician and activist, at the Federal High Court in Abuja over his online remarks directed at President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Sowore, who disclosed the development on Tuesday through his social media handles, said the charges arose from posts where he described the President as a “criminal.” The DSS reportedly cited this label, alongside other content shared on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), as evidence for what the activist described as “novel” and politically driven offences.

“I have somehow committed a set of ‘novel’ offences they invented and spread across five counts,” Sowore wrote, adding that the charges also implicated the platforms X and Facebook. The activist noted, however, that the legal consequences for the companies remain uncertain.

Observers and critics have condemned the move, describing it as a further clampdown on free expression and political opposition in Nigeria. Sowore, who was the presidential candidate of the African Action Congress (AAC) in the 2015 general election and convener of the #RevolutionNow movement, insisted that he would appear in court whenever the case is assigned for hearing.

“It’s hard to believe there’s anyone sensible left in these offices that should be making Nigeria work,” he added.

As of the time of filing this report, the DSS has not issued any official statement on the matter. Legal experts and civil society organisations are expected to follow the proceedings closely, given the potential implications of the case for political speech and digital rights in Nigeria.

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BIG STORY

Dangote Replies NUPENG: Our CNG Trucks Will Create 24,000 Jobs, Drivers Earn Triple Of Minimum Wage

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Aliko Dangote, president of Dangote Group, has dismissed claims that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery is displacing workers, insisting instead that the company is creating thousands of new jobs.

Speaking at a press briefing on Monday, the billionaire said the deployment of 4,000 compressed natural gas (CNG) trucks would generate at least 24,000 direct and indirect jobs nationwide.

“We are not taking jobs away; we are creating more opportunities. The CNG trucks will not be operated by robots,” Dangote said.

He explained that the refinery’s drivers are paid salaries three times higher than the national minimum wage. In addition, employees receive life insurance, health insurance that covers their spouses and up to four children, and a guaranteed lifelong pension.

According to him, the recruitment drive extends beyond drivers to include mechanics, fleet managers, and other technical professionals who will support the new fleet.

The refinery had announced the acquisition of the 4,000 CNG trucks on June 15, saying the move would strengthen its nationwide fuel distribution. By June 29, the company projected that the distribution scheme could save Nigeria over ₦1.7 trillion annually.

However, three months later, the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG) threatened a nationwide strike, accusing Dangote Refinery of anti-union practices. Though the union suspended a two-day strike on September 9, it warned of possible further action.

‘Refinery not opposed to unions’

Sayyu Dantata, founder of MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, stressed that Dangote Refinery was open to working with NUPENG and other labour organisations.

“We are not against unions. We want to live and work alongside them. There’s no problem with that,” he said.

He noted that the refinery only became aware of the union’s grievances through media reports, despite his longstanding ties with industry unions.

“By law, unions are expected to give notice and a grace period before action. Even so, we went into dialogue. Unionism is not by force. People have the right to decide whether or not to belong,” Dantata said.

He added that the refinery welcomes all business partners without discrimination, whether they are union members or not.

“Our focus is the common man. Most of our drivers prefer independence because we ensure they earn a decent wage,” he said.

According to him, the new working conditions have elevated the social status of truck drivers in Nigeria. “For the first time, a driver can proudly tell his children that he is a truck driver and still provide them with food, shelter, and education,” Dantata said.

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BIG STORY

NASU, SSANU Join ASUU To Threaten Strike Over Unpaid Salaries, Allowances

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The Senior Staff Association of Nigerian Universities (SSANU) and the Non-Academic Staff Union of Educational and Associated Institutions (NASU) have given the Federal Government a seven-day ultimatum to address long-standing grievances affecting non-academic staff across universities.

In a joint letter dated September 12, 2025, the unions criticised what they described as the “unfair” sharing of earned allowances, the non-payment of outstanding entitlements, and delays in resolving other critical labour matters.

The document, signed by SSANU President Muhammed Ibrahim and NASU General Secretary Peters Adeyemi, reminded Education Minister Tunji Alausa of an earlier letter from their Joint Action Committee (JAC) on June 18, 2025. That letter, they said, had outlined pressing issues requiring government intervention.

Following the correspondence, the minister convened a meeting with NASU and SSANU leaders on July 4, 2025, to discuss the concerns raised.

According to the unions, the outstanding matters include: the “unjust disbursement” of ₦50 billion in earned allowances, non-payment of withheld salaries, failure to implement a 25/35 per cent salary increment, and the delayed renegotiation of the 2009 FGN–NASU/SSANU agreements.

They warned that if the government failed to act within the seven-day window starting Monday, September 15, 2025, their members would embark on a series of lawful industrial actions, including strikes.

The statement further noted that during the July 4 meeting, it was agreed that a Tripartite Committee—comprising the Federal Ministry of Education, the National Universities Commission, and representatives of the two unions—would be set up to address the imbalance in the ₦50 billion allowances. The unions argued that while university staff received a share, workers in Inter-University Centres were completely excluded.

On the matter of two months’ withheld salaries, the unions said there was no resolution at the July meeting. However, the minister reportedly pledged to fast-track the payment of arrears tied to the 25/35 per cent salary increment owed to members.

They added that a reminder letter was sent to the minister on August 18, 2025, due to what they described as his office’s silence—or deliberate refusal—to act on the issues.

The statement also faulted the government for dragging its feet on the renegotiation of the 2009 agreements. The committee chaired by Alhaji Yayale Ahmed, inaugurated on October 15, 2024, only met with the JAC once—on December 10, 2024. Since then, the unions claimed, the government team has stopped engaging them, even though it has reportedly concluded renegotiations with the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU).

The unions recalled that they raised this concern during the July 4 meeting, where the minister promised to intervene. However, no progress has been recorded since then.

“Despite our repeated attempts to draw attention to the plight of our members in universities and Inter-University Centres, the government has failed to act,” the unions said.

They stressed that, given the continued inaction, they had no choice but to issue a final seven-day notice beginning September 15, 2025. Failure to meet their demands, they warned, would result in nationwide strikes and other industrial actions.

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