The governorship contest for Ogun State in 2027 has officially begun.

INEC has blown the whistle, full campaigns have started, and anyone who lives, does business, or has family in Ogun State knows the political space is fully activated. The billboards are up, the consultations are nightly, and the debates in beer parlours, market stalls, and WhatsApp groups are getting intense.

I write from Lagos, but with business and family interests across Abeokuta, Ijebu-Ode, and Ota, Ogun politics is not abstract to me. It affects my daily reality.

At the centre of this unfolding drama are two leading contenders whose names dominate every conversation.

The Two Leading Contenders

First is Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, popularly known as Yayi. A three-term federal lawmaker from Lagos West to Ogun West, and currently Chairman of the Senate Appropriation Committee. Yayi is known for a very unusual brand of senatorial representation – heavily focused on facilitation of projects and mass empowerment programmes across all wards of Ogun West. He has built a reputation as a highly networked politician with a formidable structure across the state.

Second is Hon. Oladipupo Adebutu, widely known as Lado. A thoroughbred Ogun politician. Member of the House of Representatives in the early 90s, governorship candidate of the PDP in 2019 and 2023, and a grassroots mobilizer with deep roots in Remo. He is from Iperu-Remo, the same town as the incumbent Governor, Prince Dapo Abiodun. As the son of Sir Kessington Adebukunola Adebutu, a man whose philanthropic footprint is legendary across Nigeria, Lado brings both political experience and enormous goodwill.

Both men are experienced, both are prepared, and by all indications, both have the financial capacity to run a full-scale governorship campaign across 236 wards. This is not going to be a contest for the faint-hearted.

The Noise Around Nativity

One narrative that has unfortunately dominated the last few weeks is the question of nativity.

Whispers about where a candidate’s father was buried, where he originally hails from, and whether he is truly from Ogun State.

I think this is a disservice to Ogun people. Ogun State, the cradle of the educated elite in Nigeria, has always voted based on capacity and promise, not narrow identity politics.

During a visit to Abeokuta recently, I overheard a conversation among some young graduates that summarized the mood of many. Their point was simple: they have seen tangible empowerment programmes executed by Senator Yayi as a serving Senator in Ogun West, and they are more interested in who can scale that to the entire state than in debates about origin.

Whether one supports Yayi or Lado, we must agree that Ogun people deserve an issues-based campaign. The two leading candidates have a responsibility to tell their supporters to focus on manifestos, not personal attacks. That is the Ogun way.

The Deeper Conversation: Equity and Zoning

If we move past the noise, Ogun faces a deeper, more structural conversation – equity.

Let us look at history:

– 1979-1983: Chief Olabisi Onabanjo – Ogun East (Ijebu)
– 1992-1993: Chief Olusegun Osoba – Ogun Central (Egba)
– 1999-2003: Chief Olusegun Osoba again – Ogun Central
– 2003-2011: Otunba Gbenga Daniel – Ogun East (Ijebu)
– 2011-2019: Senator Ibikunle Amosun – Ogun Central (Egba)
– 2019-Date: Prince Dapo Abiodun – Ogun East (Remo/Iperu)

Ogun State was created in February 1976. About 50 years after its creation, Ogun West – the Yewa-Awori zone comprising 5 local governments with huge industrial potential in Ota/Agbara and massive agricultural land in Imeko, Ipokia and Yewa North – has never produced a Governor.

This is not a small statistic. It is a historical imbalance.

This is where the Iperu question becomes unavoidable. If Governor Abiodun, who is from Iperu-Remo in Ogun East, completes his term in 2027, how do we justify another Governor from the same town, Iperu, immediately succeeding him? Even within Ogun East, there are Ijebu, Remo North, Shagamu, and other areas that would also feel shortchanged.

Can one town produce two Governors back-to-back in a diverse state of four divisions? That question bothers many neutral stakeholders I have spoken to.

Philanthropy, Structure and Performance

Hon. Adebutu has undeniable strengths. He is a grassroots politician who understands Ogun East politics deeply. He has been consistent since 1992, and he has shown resilience. He also carries the enormous goodwill of the Adebutu family name – a family that has given so much to education, sports, and employment in Ogun State. For many, supporting Lado is a way of appreciating Sir Kessington Adebutu’s decades of philanthropy.

Senator Adeola, on the other hand, brings a different strength – a record of what he did with the legislative power he had. His model in Ogun West has been to turn a senatorial district office into a quasi-development agency – facilitating schools, ICT centres, market support schemes, bursaries, and training programmes. For many outside Ogun West, the question is: can this model be scaled to the whole state?

Interestingly, both offer different answers to the same question Ogun people are asking: Who can create jobs for our graduates, fix our rural roads in Ogun East, address insecurity on our farmlands in Yewa, bring order to our industrial hubs in Ogun Central, and truly empower our market women?

My Final Take

I have friends in both campaigns, and I respect both candidates. Both have paid their dues, and both are eminently qualified to aspire to lead Ogun State.

But Ogun State at this junction must make a choice that goes beyond individual ambition. It must make a choice about inclusion, about fairness, and about performance.

For about 50 years, Ogun West has waited. The agitation for Ogun West to produce the next Governor is not just about Yayi; it is about giving every part of Ogun a sense of belonging in the Gateway State project.

At the same time, Ogun needs a Governor who has shown empathy, who has shown he can use public office to touch ordinary people even before becoming Governor, and who can work tirelessly across all zones.

I leave Ogun people to judge who best fits that description.

Let Ogun choose wisely.

Sola Fajobi is a public affairs analyst. He writes from Lagos.

Senate President Godswill Akpabio says there is no vacancy in Aso Rock, insisting that President Bola Tinubu remains in charge of the country’s affairs despite being on vacation abroad.

Akpabio spoke on Tuesday in Akwa Ibom while inaugurating road projects executed by Umo Eno, governor of the state.

The Senate President said Tinubu’s absence from the country should not be interpreted as a transfer of power or presidential vacancy.

“I am not the acting president, because the president is still in power. The president is on a working leave. So, there’s no absence in Aso Rock,” he said.

Akpabio said Tinubu continued to perform his responsibilities even while outside the country, arguing that the president could issue directives and conduct government business remotely.

“What he cannot do here, he is doing abroad. The world has become a global village; you can give instructions from the internet about anything, so why are people complaining?” he stated.

The Senate President also referenced Tinubu’s recent engagements abroad, including his meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron.

“The other day, he was with President Macron on a state visit, discussing bilateral to bring things back to Nigeria,” Akpabio said.

He also addressed Tinubu’s absence from the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), saying Vice-President Kashim Shettima represented Nigeria at the gathering.

“And then, because he could not make it to UNGA, the United Nations General Assembly, his vice-president went,” he said.

The Senate President noted that, as chairman of the National Assembly, he was the appropriate authority to comment on whether there was a vacancy in the presidency.

“There’s no vacancy; people who are talking are just talking. I’m the only person as chairman of the National Assembly that can speak for the National Assembly and say there is a vacancy and there will be a vacancy,” he said.

“Right now, there is no vacancy. Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is still in power and is still running the affairs of Nigeria.”

Akpabio also mocked those questioning Tinubu’s absence from the country, comparing them with people who complain unnecessarily.

“The people who are complaining are like people who are drinking water and say give me toothpick, the water is all for my teeth. They don’t know what to say,” he added.

Akpabio’s comments come amid reactions on social media to the simultaneous absence of Tinubu and Shettima from Nigeria, with some Nigerians questioning who is physically in charge of the country while the president was in France and the vice-president attended the UNGA in New York.

The debate has also been amplified by opposition criticism of Tinubu’s decision to skip the UNGA for the third consecutive year.

The Ogun State governorship candidate of the All Progressives Congress, Senator Solomon Adeola, popularly known as Yayi, on Monday unveiled his nine-pillar manifesto, tagged “ITESIWAJU for Ogun State”, calling for continuity in governance and development policies in the state.

Adeola, who is also the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Appropriation and represents Ogun West Senatorial District, cited Lagos State as an example of how successive administrations could build on the achievements of their predecessors to accelerate economic and infrastructural development.

The senator disclosed this in Abeokuta while meeting with members of the Inter-Party Advisory Council in the state.

He argued that the development recorded in Lagos since the return to democratic rule in 1999 was partly attributable to what he described as a relatively seamless transition from one administration to another.

Adeola said Ogun could experience similar multiplier effects if successive governments maintained and completed viable projects initiated by their predecessors instead of abandoning them for new ones.

According to him, Lagos’ development experience demonstrated the importance of policy continuity, noting that research on the state had documented how successive administrations since 1999 had worked on governance reforms, infrastructure, transportation, revenue generation and urban development.

The APC governorship candidate said that, if elected, his administration would continue viable infrastructure projects inherited from the current government rather than abandoning them because they were initiated by a previous administration.

The senator said discontinuity in government could delay development by several years, stressing that projects should be evaluated by their benefits to the people rather than by the political administration that initiated them.

He also called for an issue-based campaign ahead of the 2027 election, urging governorship candidates to clearly explain what they intended to do in the areas of youth development, women’s empowerment, industrialisation, agriculture, infrastructure, security, job creation and economic growth.

Adeola said, “If Lagos could achieve what it has achieved through seamless transition of government from one administration to another, we can begin to imagine the multiplier effects that continuity can bring to the economy and development of Ogun.

“People must be able to know what your plans are for the youth, the economy, women, industrialisation, infrastructure, contractors and agriculture. Where are you taking us to? People should judge us on those issues,” he said.

The lawmaker subsequently unveiled his proposed development agenda, tagged “Itesiwaju”, which he said was designed after extensive consultations and intended to address the needs of the state across multiple sectors.

He explained that the slogan, “Itesiwaju Ipinle Ogun”, meaning the progress of Ogun State, was built around a comprehensive development framework.

According to him, the acronym ITESIWAJU represents:

I — Infrastructure; T — Tourism and Culture; E — Economic Empowerment; S — Security and Welfare; I — Inclusive Growth and Well-being; W — Women, Youth and Poverty Eradication; A — Agriculture and Food Security; J — Job Creation and Industrialisation; and U — Urbanisation and Transparency.

He said the agenda was not designed merely as a vehicle for seeking political power but as a development framework intended to address what he described as the state’s needs across different sectors.

The senator added, “This is not a document put together for the sake of putting a document together. It is not a document put together to grab power.

“I put this document together with a sense of purpose. A document that took me three years to put together. It is a document meticulously crafted to attend to every need of everyone in this state.”

He revealed that the proposed agenda was developed from consultations with thousands of people across the state.

Adeola further maintained that the state possessed sufficient economic and human resources to become a model of development, saying his ambition was motivated by what he described as a desire to contribute to the state’s progress.

He urged other candidates and political parties to present their programmes to the electorate and allow voters to assess the competing plans ahead of the election.

He, therefore, dismissed the controversy surrounding his ancestral roots as mere political manoeuvring and what he described as the opposition’s desperation for power.

He said he remained focused on the development of Ogun State, insisting that he would not be distracted, intimidated or blackmailed by the controversy.

“My ancestral challenge is mere politics and desperation for power. I have a vision and believe in the development of this state, so I refuse to be bothered. I refuse to be blackmailed. Under my government, you must be eminently qualified to earn a position,” he said.

Speaking earlier, the Ogun State IPAC Chairman, Comrade Abayomi Sanyaolu, lauded the APC governorship candidate for what he described as his giant strides across the three senatorial districts of the state.

Sanyaolu cautioned all governorship candidates against heating up the polity with vulgar language and personal attacks.

He said, rather, that all candidates should present their manifestos to the electorate and focus on issue-based campaigns.