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Naira To Stabilise At N1,600–N1,650 Per Dollar — Bismarck Rewane

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Economist and Financial Derivatives Limited’s Managing Director, Bismarck Rewane, has predicted that the naira will soon stabilize between N1,600 and N1,650 against the US dollar.

Rewane made this statement during his speech at the June edition of the Lagos Business School Breakfast session.

During his mid-term evaluation of the current administration’s economy, the economist noted that the naira is still undervalued by 26.82 per cent. He also pointed out that the dollar’s 8.7 per cent decline so far this year could help strengthen the naira.

He explained that “The official and parallel market rates have converged more closely. Now trading within a 1–3 per cent margin. A major improvement from the 50–70 per cent gap observed pre-reforms. The spread is now within the N50 margin, meaning that the naira is now fairly priced and the naira will trade at about N1,600-N1,650/$”.

Looking ahead to June and July, Rewane forecasted that “inflation data will reveal a slight decline to 23.15 per cent. The real GDP growth for Q1 25 will come out at 3.4 per cent. Brent will trade at $60-$63 pb as OPEC+ increases output. Nigeria’s oil production will increase to 1.5 mbpd. The price of PMS will decline marginally to N845/litre. Diesel will trade at N950/litre. Corporate profitability in Q2’25 will increase as companies carry lower inventory. FAAC allocation will be flat at N1.6tn as corporate income tax clawback reduces tax liabilities.”

He further said that the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points in its upcoming meeting. He also mentioned that the recent trade tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump are unlikely to affect Nigeria significantly.

Rewane’s naira prediction was backed by analysts at Meristem, who believe that the exchange rate will remain stable at the official market, thanks to ongoing foreign exchange interventions and improved liquidity.

However, he added, “the parallel market is likely to remain under pressure, especially if downward risks to FX inflows persist and speculative demand stays elevated. As a result, the widening spread between both markets may linger in the near term,” he stated.

In May, the naira slightly appreciated at the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market, indicating a stable foreign exchange supply supported by the Central Bank’s continued interventions. Meanwhile, it depreciated on a month-to-month basis in the parallel market, increasing the gap between both markets from N1.69/$ in April to N24.25/$ in May.

According to Meristem’s monthly report, this was the first significant divergence since March 2025, which it attributed to strong demand pressures and speculation amid rising global uncertainties.

On company performance, Rewane gave a positive assessment, highlighting that businesses are seeing revenue and profit growth. He noted this reflects solid performance and reduced exposure to naira depreciation risks, due to the higher levels of locally denominated debt. He also observed that private firms now have quicker access to local financing, suitable for short-term needs, as shown by the rise in commercial paper issuances. This dependable domestic credit has supported business expansion and temporary financing needs.

These developments, he explained, have contributed to a favorable outlook for the Nigerian private sector as firms “adapt by repricing, local sourcing, and digital transformation. Investor sentiment is warming, fuelled by forex reforms, policy clarity, and signs of macroeconomic stabilisation. Investors are showing renewed interest, particularly in banks, infrastructure, and energy, but are still watching the policy environment. Portfolio investors are slowly returning, encouraged by higher yields, a more flexible exchange rate, and enhanced central bank transparency,” Rewane added.

BIG STORY

AMCON Sells Ibadan DisCo For N100bn

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The Asset Management Company of Nigeria has confirmed the sale of the Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company.

Gbenga Alake, managing director and chief executive officer of AMCON, revealed the details of the transaction during a media briefing with journalists on Thursday.

In April 2024, the federal government announced plans to sell five electricity distribution companies managed by banks and AMCON.

Ibadan DisCo, which was under AMCON’s management, is among the five companies listed for sale. Others include the Abuja Electricity Distribution Company, Benin Electricity Distribution Company, Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company, and Kano Electricity Distribution Company.

During the briefing, Alake stated that the company was sold for N100 billion.

He mentioned that AMCON would soon transfer the company to the preferred bidder.

“Today, I announce to you that Ibadan DisCo has been sold. When we came in, it has already been sold. It was sold for how much?” Alake said.

“We got in and said no, it cannot be. We said they should go and submit a new offer that we were not going to sell for that.

“At the end of the day, we got almost double of what Ibadan DisCos was going to be sold for.”

He explained that the sale has sparked legal disputes, with “so many interests now fighting and writing”.

Alake maintained that despite the matter being in court, AMCON remains confident that the process was properly handled.

“We have sold it… and whatever is still happening in court, we will face it,” he said.

On May 15, reports emerged that the African Initiative Against Abuse of Public Trust, a civil society group, had filed a suit at the federal high court in Abuja against AMCON, the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission, the Bureau of Public Enterprises, and Ibadan DisCo over an alleged planned sale of a 60 percent stake in the company for $62 million.

The civil society group, in the suit marked FHC/ABJ/CS/866/2025, described the sale as “secretive and illegal,” claiming the price was “corruptly undervalued”.

The group also argued that the transaction would result in a $107 million loss compared to the $169 million paid for the same stake during the 2013 privatisation of Ibadan DisCo.

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BIG STORY

Wike Dares Coalition, Says Only PDP Can Challenge Tinubu In 2027

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FCT Minister Nyesom Wike has called on those opposing President Bola Tinubu’s administration to stop using Nigerians, insisting that only the Peoples Democratic Party has the capacity to contest against Tinubu in 2027.

He made this statement during his monthly media briefing in Abuja on Thursday.

Wike criticised the claims that Nigerians were angry, pointing out that those in the coalition were once in government and failed to improve the lives of citizens.

“I heard David Mark say, to rescue Nigeria; Nigerians are angry. David Mark was Senate President for how many terms? Two terms, is it not? Nigerians were happy. Nigerians were happy when he was Senate President for eight years. And there was no single project to Otukpo; not one. He was flying with helicopter to go to Otukpo. Nigerians were not angry then, Nigerians are only angry now.

“When Rotimi Amaechi was Minister for eight years, Nigerians were not angry. When Nigeria became indebted, Chinese loan, Nigerians were happy. It’s now Nigerians are angry. I saw Seriake (Dickson). They are saying Nigerians are angry. They want to rescue Nigeria. So I’m asking this simple question. What happened to Air Nigeria? Nigerians were happy then.

“When they went to APC in 2015 and took over the reins of power in 2023, Nigerians were happy. Was it under Tinubu’s government that banditry came? Tambuwal, you were Speaker for four years. What did you do to make Nigerians not to be angry? You were a governor in Sokoto State,” he said.

Wike said he could only accept the claim that Nigerians were angry if it came from people who had never been in power, adding that Tinubu is taking steps to improve the nation’s condition.

“When you want to go to power, tell us. If there are people who have not been in power in this country, who are coming with such an idea, I can listen to them. But not people who were the ones at the helms of affairs of this country for how many years? Look at where this country is. If this President did not take certain decisions he has taken, which may be very challenging, you would have known where we would have been by now.

“A president came and said it’s a scam; took that bold step, we will not allow that. States are getting more money. Nigerians are angry that states are getting more money. Nigerians are angry that we are providing infrastructure in Abuja. I cannot say that there are no challenges. There are challenges. But for Christ’s sake, stop using Nigerians,” he stated.

He also said that only the PDP could effectively compete with President Tinubu in 2027 if the party organises itself properly, noting that the opposition has already weakened itself.

“The opposition have even decimated themselves. Let me tell you why I said so, now you are talking about coalition. What is the coalition? The only party today, that if they put themselves well, can still challenge this government, assuming, is PDP,” Wike said.

He also remarked that Nigerians keep recycling the same leaders because they base their votes on ethnic and religious sentiments instead of evaluating candidates’ records.

“It’s your business, you the voters. Let me tell you something. I’m the FCT Minister today, is it not true? Right? If I’m supporting a party to win the election, I should be able to stand and say, this is why you should support. Tell me whether this is correct or not? You are the one to say, yes. I’ve seen what you said. I’m going to vote for that. But you, the voter, you don’t do that. You vote on ethnicity. You vote on religion,” he said.

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BIG STORY

Tinubu Conference Centre Made N650m In Three Weeks, People Are Rushing It — Wike

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Nyesom Wike, minister of the federal capital territory (FCT), says the Bola Tinubu International Conference Centre recorded N650 million in revenue within three weeks of its launch.

During a media parley on Thursday, Wike explained that the conference centre underwent a complete renovation, noting that “the only thing that we didn’t do in that structure was to bring the whole thing down”.

He mentioned that prior to the renovation, the conference centre generated only N50 million annually for the FCT.

“Now let me tell you how this country works. The man they gave it (conference centre) to was paying N50 million to the FCT every year. That place was commissioned on June 10, and the revenue made within three weeks was N650 million. Why? People love good things,” he stated.

He added that the facility hosted the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) heads of state, with positive remarks from ambassadors. According to him, the venue has become highly sought after.

“In fact, there’s no space. As I speak, it has been booked up to 2027.”

Wike recalled facing criticism from politicians and senior government officials when he initially closed the centre.

“The country we’re in is a place that if you begin to pay attention to frivolities, you won’t achieve anything,” he said.

“And now you’re saying, why did I name it after Tinubu. Who should I name it after? Who is more qualified?”

The FCT administration had faced backlash for spending N39 billion to renovate the conference centre.

Wike was also criticised for naming the revamped centre after the president.

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