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BIG STORY

Foreign Reserves Return To Growth After Almost 3 Months Declines

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Nigeria’s foreign reserves may have begun a gradual comeback after nearly three months of straight falls.

The reserves concluded the weekend at $33.954 billion, up from $33.949 billion the previous week.The increase is the first in 11 weeks.At the unified market-driven platform, the naira rose by 4.4 percent to N743.07 per dollar. Unmet forex demands continue to put pressure on the local currency, which remains volatile.

The reserves had recently been under significant pressure as the government grappled with a multiple exchange rate system. There was a 300-basis-point difference between the official and parallel market rates.

The reserves peaked at $37.211 billion on January 16, 2023, after closing at around $37.08 billion in 2022. It stayed on the decline, in many cases falling for several weeks in a row. In the first half of 2023, the reserves lost nearly $2.9 billion.

In accordance with President Bola Tinubu’s economic policy, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) eliminated the multiple exchange rate system and its close-managed official rate on June 14, 2023.

The central bank implemented a market-determined system that primarily leaves the country’s currency to forces of demand and supply.

Experts agreed that the foreign reserves would remain under pressure in the meantime due to a backlog of demand, limited supply, and the customary policy time lag required for transitional effects.

Several analysts were however optimistic recent policy mix by the new government would substantially alter the forex position, providing a stable point for a steady build-up of forex reserves and a stable naira.

According to analysts, a mix of increased oil receipts, foreign investments, remittances, and reduction in forex management could boost reserves and naira stability in the medium to long term.

Global rating agency, Standard and Poor’s (S&P), at the weekend, upgraded Nigeria’s credit outlook to stable from negative. The agency premised the upgrade on recent policies by the Tinubu administration.

The latest report on foreign portfolio investments (FDIs) shows that Nigeria returned to a net positive position in the second quarter of 2023, driven largely by foreign inflows in the last two months.

Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr Olatunde Amolegbe, said the modest recovery in forex reserves might not be unconnected with a reduction in demand due to the removal of fuel subsidy and new forex policies.

“The expectation is that the pace of accretion might accelerate due to increased in foreign inflows and improved oil export if the issue of theft and security could be tackled,” Amolegbe, a former president of Chartered Institute of SStockbrokers (CIS), said.

He, however, noted that the apex bank may eventually settle for a managed float regime in order to cure the policy time lag and avoid undue damage to the economy before attaining forex stability.

This implies that the apex bank may intervene from time to time to ensure the naira remains within a range.

President Tinubu had also hinted that while the government remains committed to a market economy, it would take due cognizance of undue volatility and take appropriate measures to support stability.

Analysts at Cordros Capital Group said they expected currency pressures to remain intact in the near term, given seasonal-induced demand.

They noted that the forex supply is still frail despite recent policy measures.

“On forex supply, we expect foreign investors to remain on the sidelines in the near term, as they continue to look for signals on market interest rates and solutions to the existing forex backlog and supply issues,” Cordros Capital Group stated.

President of the Association of Capital Market Academics, Prof Uche Uwaleke, said the forex accretion might be due to recent policy measures, although the outlook remains grim.

His words: “The accretion may be the result of favorable oil price and improvements in crude oil output. It could also have been helped by the recent increase in foreign portfolio investments in the wake of the unification of exchange rates.

“But it is very marginal and insufficient to make any significant impact on the exchange rate in view of the unmet demand as well as increasing demand pressure.

“External reserves serve many purposes including being used to defend the value of a country’s currency.

“Unfortunately for Nigeria, crude oil sales still account for over 90 percent of forex earnings.

“In this regard, the outlook for forex will remain grim until we can establish multiple streams of forex including through diversifying the country’s export base.”

BIG STORY

FAAC: FG, States, LGAs Shared N1.6trn In February, Statutory Revenue Dropped By N194bn

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The federation account allocation committee (FAAC) says it shared N1.67 trillion among the three tiers of government in February.

The figure represents a decrease of N25 billion or 1.49 percent compared to the N1.703 trillion distributed in January.

Bawa Mokwa, the director of press and public relations of office of the accountant-general of the federation (OAGF), spoke on the revenue distribution in a FAAC communiqué, according to NAN.

FAAC said the total revenue of N1.678 trillion comprised a statutory revenue of N827.63 billion and value-added tax (VAT) income of N609.43 billion, electronic money transfer levy (EMTL) revenue of N35.17 billion, solid minerals revenue of N28.21 billion and augmentation of N178 billion.

The committee also said a total gross revenue of N2.34 trillion was available in February.

Total deduction for cost of collection was N89.092 billion while total transfers, interventions, refunds, and savings was N577.097 billion, the communique reads.

GROSS STATUTORY REVENUE DROPPED IN FEBRUARY

The communiqué further said a gross statutory revenue of N1.65 trillion was received in February. This, it said, was lower than the sum of N1.84 trillion recorded in January by N194.66 billion.

FAAC said a gross revenue of N654.45 billion was available from VAT in February, lower than the N771.88 billion available in January by N117.43 billion.

According to the committee, from the total distributable revenue of N1.67 trillion, the federal government received N569.65 billion, N562.19 billion went to states, while the local governments got N410.55 billion.

A total sum of N136.04 billion (13 percent of mineral revenue) was shared with the benefiting states as derivation revenue.

Of the N827.63 billion statutory revenue, the federal government received N366.26 billion and the state governments received N185.77 billion, FAAC said.

The local governments received N143.22 billion and the sum of N132.37 billion (13 percent of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting states as derivation revenue.

The committee also said from the N609.43 billion VAT revenue, the federal government got N91.41 billion, state governments had N304.71 billion and the local governments received N213.3 billion.

A total sum of N5.27 billion was received by the federal government from the N35.17 billion EMTL. The state governments received N17.58 billion and the LGCs received N12.31 billion, FAAC said.

From the N28.21 billion solid minerals revenue, the federal government received N12.93 billion and the state governments received N6.56 billion.

The local governments received N5.05 billion and a total sum of N3.66 billion (13 percent of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting States as derivation revenue.

FAAC also said oil and gas royalty and EMTL increased significantly while VAT, petroleum profit tax (PPT), companies income tax, excise duty, import duty, and CET levies recorded a decrease.

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BIG STORY

JUST IN: Nnamdi Kanu Pleads Not Guilty To ‘Terrorism’ Charge In Fresh Trial

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The leader of the proscribed Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Nnamdi Kanu, has pleaded not guilty to a seven-count charge bordering on terrorism and treasonable felony.

Kanu was arraigned on Friday before James Omotosho, judge of a federal high court in Abuja.

On March 8, John Tsoho, chief judge of the federal high court, reassigned Kanu’s case to a new judge after the defendant repeatedly asked Binta Nyako to recuse herself from his case.

Kanu directly told Nyako that he no longer had confidence in her handling of his trial.

On September 24, Nyako recused herself from Kanu’s case after an oral application by the defendant.

On February 10, Nyako adjourned Kanu’s case indefinitely following the defendant’s insistence that the judge cannot preside over his case since she had recused herself.

Subsequently, Aloy Ejimakor, Kanu’s counsel, told the media in early March that the trial would start afresh following the appointment of a new judge.

 

 

More to follow…

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BIG STORY

Nigerian Woman Faces 10 Years In US Jail For Drug Trafficking, Fraud

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A Nigerian woman, identified as Tammy, has admitted to charges of drug trafficking and bank fraud in the US and could face up to 10 years in prison.

According to a statement from the Department of Justice, US Attorney’s Office (Eastern District of Virginia) on Tuesday (November 5), Tammy “pleaded guilty to the allegations of conspiring with others to import more than five kilograms of cocaine, as well as to her role in a separate bank fraud scheme, and to making false statements relating to fraudulent claims submitted to Medicaid for reimbursement.”

Zachary Terwilliger, US Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia, described Tammy as a “triple threat” due to her involvement in multiple crimes, stating:

“Tammy is a ‘triple threat’ of criminality – drug trafficker, a fraudster, and a liar. Tammy, a Nigerian immigrant who has spent the last two decades with the privilege of living in the United States as a lawful permanent resident, clearly has zero respect for American laws pertaining to our borders, controlled substances, our financial system, or our health care system.”

With this plea, Tammy is facing a mandatory minimum sentence of 10 years for the drug-related charges, with sentencing scheduled for February 28, 2020.

Drug Trafficking and Fraud Scheme

Court documents reveal that Tammy, 40, recruited individuals from the Washington, D.C. area to serve as drug couriers. She was also involved in setting up bank accounts in their names, assisting with passport and visa applications, and arranging their travel.

The couriers primarily traveled to São Paulo, Brazil, where they obtained kilograms of cocaine concealed within soft-sided briefcases or attaché cases. Law enforcement intercepted nearly seven kilograms of cocaine at three different US airports, all linked to couriers allegedly recruited by Tammy.

Additionally, the statement highlighted her involvement in submitting “falsified and fraudulent claims to the D.C. Department of Health Care Finance, a health care benefit program funded by Medicaid.”

Tammy was employed as a personal care aide for multiple home health agencies in Washington, D.C. To receive payment, she was required to submit timesheets signed by clients verifying services provided. However, instead of recording actual work hours, Tammy enlisted Medicaid recipients to act as “patients” and sign fraudulent timesheets in exchange for a small payment.

Investigators discovered that on at least two occasions, Tammy billed for home health services while she was outside the United States.

Beyond drug trafficking and healthcare fraud, Tammy also allegedly utilized her African goods business in Maryland to execute bank fraud schemes.

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