President of the Dangote Group, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, has revealed his intention to slash the cost of Liquefied Petroleum Gas, also known as cooking gas. He further stated that if current distributors resist the price reduction, he will begin selling directly to consumers.

Industry players, however, have opposed the proposal, accusing Dangote of attempting to dominate the LPG market. They voiced their concerns on Monday, fearing the possibility of monopolistic control.

During a recent inspection of his refinery by both local and international visitors, Dangote pointed out that the current cost of cooking gas is too high and beyond the reach of ordinary Nigerians who rely on firewood.

He mentioned that the refinery is now capable of producing 22,000 tonnes of LPG daily, and efforts are underway to increase output for local distribution, especially as more Nigerians adopt gas for cooking.

Addressing members of the Lagos Business School CGEO Africa at his Lekki refinery, Dangote stated, “The one that we didn’t write, which you must have seen, is LPG. Currently, we do LPG of about 2,000 tonnes per day. You know Nigeria is gradually moving to the usage of LPG. But I believe it is expensive, but right now we’re trying to bring down the price and make it cheaper.”

Dangote cautioned that “if the distributors are not trying to bring it down, we’ll go directly and sell to the consumers, so that people will now transit from firewood or kerosene to LPG for cooking.”

It was earlier reported that Dangote plans to begin nationwide direct distribution of petrol, diesel, and aviation fuel in August, using 4,000 CNG-powered buses.

At present, cooking gas sells for between N1,000 and N1,300 per kilogramme. Dangote aims to reduce this to make it more accessible.

Operators kick

LPG market stakeholders appear displeased with Dangote’s plan to shake up the sector.

In an interview with our correspondent, the former Chairman of the LPG and Natural Gas Downstream Group of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Godwin Okoduwa, labelled the move monopolistic.

Okoduwa stressed that Dangote must acknowledge the efforts of investors who expanded the LPG market from 70,000 metric tonnes in 2007 to over 1 million metric tonnes by 2022. He emphasized the importance of cooperation.

“I think it’s monopolistic. I think a market should be protected to encourage growth. The LPG industry in Nigeria grew from 70,000 metric tonnes in 2007 to over 1.3 million tonnes in 2022. That was done by collaboration — collaboration with the Federal Government, the NLNG, and offtakers. Everything was done in collaboration. It grew from 70,000 to 250 to 800, and now over a million,” Okoduwa said.

He argued that monopoly cannot drive growth, but collaboration can. “Today, we are just under 5kg or 6kg per capita consumption in terms of LPG. Other countries are doing much more. South Africa is doing double digits, Morocco and Tunisia are doing double digits. We can do much more.

“So, we should, as an industry and as a country, focus on how to grow the LPG industry and not allow someone (to frustrate the players). Yes, he has invested; yes, it’s a capital economy, but he should not be allowed to frustrate the players.

“There are people who have spent money, spent resources, even business and development, and someone just comes in to reap from the work that has been done. I’m sure he wouldn’t have built if there had not been an existing market. The work has been done, he should respect the market and let us grow. It shouldn’t be a zero-sum strategy. It should be collaborative,” he said.

He recommended that despite having a significant advantage, Dangote should pursue collaboration.

“My advice to him is that the pie can be bigger. The Nigerian market is about 1.3 million tonnes. The Nigerian LPG market can be 5 million tonnes. He should work towards collaboration rather than competition, because at the end of the day, everybody benefits,” he added.

When told that Dangote’s main goal is to lower gas prices so everyone can afford it and reduce firewood use, Okoduwa responded, “I have news for him. He should go to the Northeast, where you have the least consumption of LPG. He should go to the Northeast and start developing the LPG infrastructure there. I think we will tell him thank you for that.”

In a similar vein, the Executive Secretary/Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Association of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Marketers, Bassey Essien, expressed doubt about Dangote’s ability to sell gas directly to consumers or significantly reduce prices.

“I am saying that it’s unrealistic. What is the position with PMS? Has the refinery been able to sell petrol directly to you and me into our cars at a very cheap rate?” Essien asked.

Aliko Dangote, who leads the Dangote Group, has revealed plans to construct what he describes as the “biggest, deepest seaport in Nigeria”.

Speaking with Bloomberg, Dangote mentioned that he has submitted an application to initiate development of the planned Atlantic seaport located in Olokola, Ogun state.

He explained that the project is aimed at simplifying the export process for products — including liquefied natural gas (LPG) — and will contribute to the rapid expansion of his industrial ventures.

Dangote noted that the initiative “to build the biggest, deepest port in Nigeria” progressed after submitting the necessary documentation for approval last month.

“It’s not that we want to do everything by ourselves, but I think doing this will encourage other entrepreneurs to come into it,” he said.

The proposed port marks Dangote’s return to the same location where he had once halted plans for a refinery and fertiliser plant due to disagreements with local authorities.

Back in March, Dangote stated he had resumed construction in Ogun state “because of His Excellency, our governor, Prince Dapo Abiodun”.

In a separate interview, Devakumar Edwin, Dangote Group’s vice-president, disclosed that the company also intends to export liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Lagos.

He added that this effort will involve laying pipelines from the Niger Delta to the coast.

“We want to do a major project to bring more gas than what Nigeria LNG is doing today,” he said.

“We know where there is a lot of gas, so run a pipeline all through and then bring it to the shore.”

On May 26, Dangote announced that Dangote Industries Limited (DIL) aims to generate $7 million in daily fertiliser sales within the next two years.

Roughly a month later, the company declared that it would commence nationwide distribution of diesel and premium motor spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, starting August 15.

The organisation also revealed that it has procured 4,000 new compressed natural gas (CNG)-powered tankers to improve its fuel delivery network across the country.

On June 27, Dangote further stated that the continent will become self-reliant in fertiliser production within 40 months.

Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves are projected to reach $41 billion by the end of the year, slightly higher than the 2024 figure, as the naira continues to strengthen, according to CardinalStone’s mid-year outlook.

The expected increase in reserves is linked to the federal government’s plan to raise $3.2 billion in the second half of the year to address certain fiscal needs. Potential inflows from portfolio investors are also anticipated to support this outlook.

“These proposed external borrowings, alongside other anticipated inflows, will likely boost the FX reserves to $41.00 billion by year-end, compared to $37.27 billion as of H1’25,” the Lagos-based research and investment firm stated in its report.

A stronger external reserve position is seen as a positive for the naira, with the firm projecting the local currency to stay within the N1,550.00 — N1,635.00 per dollar range through the end of 2025.

So far this year, Nigeria’s FX reserves have dropped by over $3.5 billion as the central bank settled around $2 billion in external obligations and continued to inject dollars into the market to sustain liquidity and stabilize the naira amid global challenges.

CardinalStone Research analysts noted that external pressures—including instability in the Middle East and new tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump—have driven $22.83 billion in FX outflows, as investors pivot to US Treasuries and Gold.

This situation has prompted the central bank to implement a “discretionary FX framework”, resulting in the sale of $4.72 billion to counteract market distortions.

The report highlighted that the CBN’s average monthly FX intervention stood at $786.58 million, significantly below the pre-COVID average of $2.30 billion and the post-COVID level of $1.38 billion, both of which were previously used to support the naira despite broader macroeconomic weaknesses.

To control inflation, attract foreign investment, and boost the naira’s value, monetary authorities have maintained key interest rates for two consecutive sessions after increasing lending rates by a total of 875 basis points to 27.5 percent.

The analysts foresee an additional 50 to 100 basis point adjustment before the year concludes, potentially easing the burden on businesses affected by high borrowing costs.

The combination of tighter monetary policy, improved FX reserves, and more effective FX management is gradually restoring investor confidence, which had declined during previous episodes of currency instability.

Nonetheless, the forecast remains vulnerable to shifts in global oil prices, the level of portfolio investments, and how quickly fiscal consolidation efforts advance. Disruptions in these areas could negatively affect both reserves and currency stability.