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BIG STORY

FG Exceeds Loan Target By N1.12tn, Borrows N5.3tn Between January And August 2022

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• Experts warn Buhari, propose revenue drive

• FG’s recurrent rise 217% to N8tn

The Federal Government exceeded its borrowing by N1.15tn for the period between January and August 2022.

A copy of the public presentation of the 2023 proposed budget by the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, showed that the Federal Government planned to borrow N6.10tn in 2022.

A breakdown shows that the Federal Government planned to get N3.53tn from domestic creditors and N2.57tn from foreign creditors.

According to the document, the Federal Government estimated that it would borrow N4.07tn between January and August 2022.

However, the Federal Government accumulated N5.33tn debt within the period under review, which is N1.15tn higher than the expected N4.07tn planned debt.

A further breakdown showed that the Federal Government borrowed N4.82tn from domestic creditors and N510.21bn from foreign creditors.

The debt from domestic creditors includes the Federal Government’s borrowing from the Central Bank of Nigeria through the Ways and Means Advances.

Ways and Means’s Advances are loan facilities through which the CBN finances the shortfalls in the government’s budget.

Earlier reports had it that the Federal Government borrowed a total of N4.61tn from the Central Bank of Nigeria through Ways and Means Advances between January and August 2022.

This means that majority of the Federal Government’s domestic debt came from its debt to the CBN.

The CBN says on its website that the Federal Government’s borrowing from it through the Ways and Means Advances could have adverse effects on the bank’s monetary policy to the detriment of domestic prices and exchange rates.

“The direct consequence of central banks’ financing of deficits are distortions or surges in monetary base leading to adverse effects on domestic prices and exchange rates i.e macroeconomic instability because of excess liquidity that has been injected into the economy,” it says.

The World Bank had, in November last year, warned the Nigerian government against financing deficits by borrowing from the CBN through the Ways and Means Advances, saying this put fiscal pressures on the country’s expenditures.

Despite warnings from experts and organizations, the Federal Government has kept borrowing from the CBN to fund budget deficits.

Also, the N22.07tn owed to the apex bank by the Federal Government is not part of the country’s total public debt stock, which stood at N42.84tn as of June 2022, according to the Debt Management Office.

Also, earlier reports had it that the country’s debt rose by N30.72tn between July 2015 and June 2022, according to data released by the DMO.

According to the DMO statistics, Nigeria’s total debt as of June 30, 2015, stood at N12.12tn. By June 30, 2022, the figure had risen to N42.84tn, which showed an increase of 253.47 percent. Despite the high increase in debt over the years, the government still plans to borrow N8.4tn in 2023.

Experts have kicked against the Federal Government’s proclivity for debt, which they have described as unsustainable.

An Abuja-based policy think tank, Agora Policy, said Nigeria’s debt was unsustainable and put the country in a perilous situation due to the high cost of debt servicing.

The group advised the government to deepen and diversify sources of revenue, re-calibrate expenditure to spend smartly, and invest efficiently.

A former President of the National Accountants of Nigeria, Dr. Sam Nzekwe, agreed that Nigeria’s debt was unsustainable.

He said, “The debt is huge. If you look at the budget, you will see that a huge sum of money is used to service debts. This is just the debt service charge. We are yet to talk about the principal.”

He also said that instead of focusing on the debt-to-GDP ratio, the focus should be on the debt service-to-revenue ratio. He further noted that the country had a revenue problem.

A development economist, Dr. Aliyu Ilias, criticized the government for its constant reliance on borrowing, which was not healthy for the economy.

He further urged the government to seek better ways of generating revenue rather than persistently borrowing.

However, the finance minister, when she appeared before the House of Representatives Committee on Finance last week, explained that the over-borrowing was a deliberate plan to ensure that money was released early for capital projects.

She said, “We are borrowing faster than what we had prorated. It was a conscious decision to make sure we have funds early enough to release for the implementation of capital projects.”

Meanwhile, the amount budgeted for recurrent expenditures has increased from N2.61tn spent in 2015 to N8.27tn in the proposed 2023 budget, according to data obtained from the Budget Office of the Federation. This shows an increase of N5.66tn or 216.86 percent in six years, fuelling concerns over the rising cost of government overheads amid declining revenue and a weakening economy.

According to The Punch, analysis revealed that recurrent expenditure recorded significant increases each year during the period under the review.

The former Nigerian President, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, approved a N4.49tn budget for 2015, which included a N2.61tn recurrent expenditure. Capital expenditure was N557bn, while money budgeted for debt service was N953.62bn. There was a fiscal deficit of N1.08tn.

The recurrent expenditure rose slightly by 1.53 percent or N40bn to N2.65tn in 2016, out of a total expenditure of N6.06tn. Capital expenditure was N1.59tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N1.48tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N2.2tn.

In 2017, it rose to N2.99tn, representing an increase of N340bn or 12.83 percent. Out of a total expenditure of N7.44tn, capital expenditure was N2.18tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N1.66tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N2.36tn.

In 2018, recurrent expenditure rose by N520bn or 17.39 percent, raising the total recurrent expenditure to N3.51tn. Out of a total expenditure of N9.12tn, capital expenditure was N2.87tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N2.01tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N1.95tn.

The following year, the recurrent expenditure increased by N540bn or 15.38 percent to N4.05tn. Out of a total expenditure of N8.91tn, capital expenditure was N2.09tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N2.25tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N1.95tn.

The recurrent expenditure was N4.84tn in 2020, out of a total expenditure of N10.59tn. This shows an increase of N790bn or 19.51 percent. Capital expenditure was N2.47tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N2.7tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N2.28tn.

However, the increase in 2020 may be attributed to the inclusion of the new national minimum wage in the budget.

In the 2022 budget, the recurrent expenditure hit N6.91tn, representing an increase of N1.27tn or 22.52 percent. Out of a total expenditure of N17.13tn, capital expenditure was N5.47tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N3.88tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N6.26tn.

President Muhammadu Buhari recently presented the proposed 2023 budget to the National Assembly.

The proposed 2023 budget shows that the proposed recurrent expenditure is N8.27tn, which is an increase of N19.68 percent or 1.36tn from the previous year. Out of a total expenditure of N20.01tn, capital expenditure was N4.93tn, while money budgeted for debt service was N6.65tn. There was a fiscal deficit of N10.7tn.

The 2023 recurrent expenditure represents 41.33 percent of the nation’s entire budget and is the single largest element of the budget. It is also N3.78bn more than the total expenditure for 2015.

From the 2023 recurrent (non-debt) expenditures, personnel costs gulped N4.08tn; pensions, gratuities, and retirees’ benefits took N721.46bn, while overheads cost N443.28bn.

Within the years of the Buhari-led administration, including 2015, a total of N38.82tn has been budgeted for recurrent expenditures. This total exceeds the N20.01tn total budget proposed for the 2023 fiscal year.

Experts have lamented the constant increase in the nation’s cost of governance. In May 2021, the Federal Government, through the Minister of Finance, Zainab Ahmed, had said it was working to reduce the high cost of governance by doing away with unnecessary expenditures, which might include salary cuts for workers.

However, the increase in recurrent expenditures in the 2023 budget suggests the government may have backpedaled on the plan. Economic and financial experts have expressed concerns over what they described as significant increases in government expenditure, saying they were worrisome because a large chunk of government revenue had been allocated to recurrent expenditure instead of capital projects that drove economic growth.

The Registrar and Chief Executive Officer, of the National Institute of Credit Administration, Prof Chris Onalo, has stressed the need for the government to streamline its expenditure in order to manage its debt profile.

He said, “Everybody is concerned about the rising debt profile. And the reason it is going in that direction is because first, our recurrent expenditure is too big. When you borrow money, you don’t borrow to pay salaries. You don’t borrow to finance recurrent expenditures. That is where we have the biggest problem.

“The size of our civil service needs to be trimmed down. Some of the ministries have to be allowed to go. And then, we need a very serious audit of the Federal Government’s workforce. And until we do that, we will not be able to run the civil service system transparently. The government expenditure profile needs to be streamlined very seriously.”

An Associate Professor of Economics at Pan Atlantic University, Dr. Olalekan Aworinde, recently linked the development to rising salaries and the upcoming election.

 

Credit: The Punch

BIG STORY

NNPCL Admits Challenges Delaying Port Harcourt Refinery Take-Off

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Barely two months after the September completion deadline flop, the Nigerian National Petroleum Commission (NNPC) has explained why it could not deliver the much-awaited Port Harcourt Refinery Company.

In an interview (with The Punch) on Monday, the NNPC Chief Corporate Communications Officer, Olufemi Soneye, said the company encountered risks and challenges while carrying out the rehabilitation, being a brownfield project.

He noted that the NNPC began the commissioning of critical equipment and processing units after the mechanical completion in Nigeria.

“You may recall that mechanical completion of the PHRC revamp was successfully achieved several months ago, marking a significant milestone in the project. Following this, we began the commissioning of critical equipment and process units.”

“However, as is common with brownfield projects of this scale and complexity, we encountered unforeseen risks and challenges,” he stated.

Nonetheless, he told (The Punch) that the issues were resolved and commissioning activities have resumed.

Soneye stressed that work is being carried out to ensure the project’s completion.

“These issues have since been effectively resolved, and commissioning activities have resumed.”

“Work is being carried out around the clock to ensure the successful completion of this critical project,” he told our correspondent.

Asked if there is any timeline for the completion of the project, he replied, “Shortly.”

It was observed that the NNPC desisted from giving new deadlines for the delivery of the refinery, having failed to meet its deadlines seven times.

The moribund Port Harcourt refinery is one of three owned by the Federal Government and managed by the NNPC.

Nigerians have been hopeful that the cost of fuel could crash if the country refines its crude and ends the import of refined products.

The NNPC said last week that it would continue to import fuel, saying it was not the sole off-taker of petrol at the Dangote refinery.

The refinery, situated in Nigeria’s oil-rich Niger Delta region, has been in operation since 1965, but later became moribund for several years.

In March 2021, the Nigerian government acquired a $1.5bn loan for the renovation and modernisation of the refinery, but the contractor handling the project has yet to announce its completion.

It was gathered that promises made to Nigerians by the Federal Ministry of Petroleum Resources and the NNPC about the refinery have continued to hit brick walls.

After the failure of the sixth deadline in early August, the then Chief Financial Officer of the NNPC, Umar Ajiya, said the refinery would commence operations in September 2024.

However, September ended without a word from the NNPC about the refinery, and Nigerians have been left in the dark since almost two months ago.

Recall that the contractor overseeing the rehabilitation of the Port Harcourt refinery, Maire Tecnimont SPA, refused to disclose the completion date for the project, despite a formal request from a human rights lawyer, Femi Falana.

Apparently baffled by the delay in the completion of the project, Falana had filed an official request under the Freedom of Information Act, seeking clarity on the date set aside for the project completion.

In response, Maire Tecnimont’s legal representative, Muyiwa Ogungbenro, a partner at Olajide Oyewole LLP, sent a letter to Falana in early October, declining to reveal the information.

Ogungbenro stated that the Managing Director of Maire Tecnimont SPA, as part of an independent private contractor, is not obligated to disclose such information under the FOI Act.

“We are counsel to Maire Tecnimont SpA, and we have our client’s instruction to respond to your letters dated 17 and 24 September 2024 requesting information on the contract between our client and Nigerian National Petroleum Company Ltd.

“Our client is a private company. Being a private independent contractor, our client is not a company in which any government has a controlling interest, and does not provide public services, functions or utilise public funds for them to be bound by the obligations in the Freedom of Information Act.

“On this ground, our client regrettably cannot provide the information you have requested,” Ogungbenro declared.

Since then, information about the refinery has been kept from the public, whose hope for cheaper petrol lies in the facility.

From December 2023, NNPC had been giving Nigerians different dates, assuring them that the refinery would begin the sale of refined products soon, having attained mechanical completion.

In July, the Group Chief Executive Officer of the NNPC, Mele Kyari, stated categorically that the refinery would come into operation in early August. He had said in 2019 that the NNPC would deliver all the country’s four refineries before the end of former President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration last year.

When he appeared before the Senate in July, Kyari boasted, “I can confirm to you, Mr Chairman, that by the end of the year, this country will be a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Specific to NNPC refineries, we have spoken to a number of your committees, and it is impossible to have the Kaduna refinery come into operation before December, it will get to December, both Warri and Kaduna; but that of Port Harcourt will commence production early August this year.”

However, the promise was not fulfilled in August which was the sixth postponement.

Though the NNPC said it was on course, the refinery has yet to commence operations even as the fourth quarter of the year nears the end.

Recall that the 210,000 barrels per day refinery was said to have reached what the NNPC called mechanical completion of rehabilitation work in December. It stated that the facility would start refining 60,000 barrels of crude oil daily after last year’s Christmas break.

Later in January, Kyari said the refinery was being tested and would be ready by the end of the first month.

During the second month of the year, the Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited completed the supply of 475,000 barrels of crude oil to the facility, raising the expectations of marketers that production would soon start.

This came a few weeks after the NNPC said in January that it was seeking to engage reputable and credible operations and maintenance companies to run the refinery.

In mid-March, Kyari said the Port Harcourt refinery would commence operations in two weeks, April.

“We are serving this country with honour and dignity. And we will make sure that the promises we make on the rehabilitation of these refineries will take place,” Kyari stated after he appeared before the Senate Ad-hoc Committee investigating the various turnaround maintenance projects of the country’s refineries.

As the April deadline elapsed, independent petroleum marketers told (The Punch) that the facility would begin production by the end of July.

Commenting on this then, NNPC’s spokesman, Soneye, said that regulatory approvals from international bodies were the only impediment stalling the operational commencement of the refinery.

 

Credit: The Punch

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BIG STORY

I Was Tinubu’s Aide For Only Six Months, And I Worked For Free — Fela Durotoye

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Fela Durotoye, a Nigerian public speaker, says he worked in the administration of President Bola Tinubu for just six months without receiving a salary.

In October 2023, Tinubu appointed Durotoye as senior special assistant on national values and social justice.

Following Tinubu’s appointment of Daniel Bwala as special adviser on public communications and media, some Nigerians on social media criticised the president for appointing a plethora of media aides without considering the cost of governance.

In a 13-man list that went viral on social media, Durotoye was named as one of the media aides to the president.

In an opinion piece published on Monday, Durotoye clarified that his appointment as aide to the president ended in March 2024.

He added that throughout the six months of his appointment, he didn’t receive any salary, allowance, or upkeep as a government official.

“Like many other issues in the public discourse, social commentary often has the tendency to overgeneralise; and broad assumptions may sometimes lead to errors of misconceptions, misstatements and misinformation,” Durotoye said.

“One of such errors is in a recent case study that went viral on social media regarding the current media team of the president, where my name was listed as one of the president’s media aides. Unfortunately, this statement needs to be updated to accurately reflect the current media team of the president.”

“For clarity, I served briefly in the role of Senior Special Assistant to the President on National Values and Social Justice (SSA-NVSJ) for a tenure of six months, from October 2023 to March 2024.”

“When I was invited to serve in this administration, I expressed, as a condition for accepting the call, my desire to NOT receive a salary from the government, as I considered this to be my service to my nation.”

“When I finally accepted the role in October 2023, it was on the condition that I would not receive any salary or allowances. During my six-month tenure, I did not accept any government funds for my service, expenses, or upkeep.”

“I rented my apartment and took my personal car to Abuja. My utility cost, fuel cost and upkeep were all borne by me and I never requested a reimbursement from the government for any expenses I incurred. Everything I contributed—time, effort, and resources—was paid for by me and my family.”

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BIG STORY

British Investors Concerned About Harmful Business Practices In Nigeria — UK Official Simon Manley

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Simon Manley, the UK’s permanent representative to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and United Nations (UN) in Geneva, says British investors in Nigeria have expressed concerns over harmful business practices in the country.

Speaking during Nigeria’s trade policy review in Geneva, Manley highlighted that British investors are also worried about the involvement of state-owned enterprises in market-distorting practices.

The British government official welcomed Nigeria’s efforts “on challenging, but necessary, economic reforms.”

“In particular, we have been pleased to see the work done to improve the monetary policy environment and the removal of fuel subsidies,” Manley said.

“However, to be honest Permanent Secretary, we would like you to go even further and faster. For example, there are concerns around the impact of state-owned enterprises on the business environment.”

“As the Secretariat noted in its report, as of 2022 around 40 state-owned enterprises were operating in key sectors like energy.”

“These state-owned enterprises, to be honest, often employ market-distorting practices and benefit from unfair competition in our view.”

“Other concerns that British businesses investing in Nigeria have raised include examples of harmful subsidies, forced technology transfer, discriminatory enforcement of competition policy, and complex regulatory barriers.”

“And we have indeed picked up on some of those issues and concerns in our Advanced Written Questions.”

“So we would encourage our Nigerian colleagues to address these harmful practices in order to boost investment, boost trade, improve its business environment and ultimately increase Nigerian prosperity.”

  • ‘THE AFRICAN CONTINENTAL FREE TRADE AGREEMENT ALREADY BENEFITTING NIGERIA’

Manley said the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) is already benefiting Nigeria’s economy and business environment.

For future growth, he said they are looking forward to Nigeria implementing the digital trade protocol of the AfCFTA.

“We congratulate Nigeria on commencing commercially meaningful trade under the Agreement by joining the Guided Trade Initiative on 16 July,” he said.

“We, in the UK, are proud to have supported the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office on reaching this milestone and we are currently supporting the implementation of the Digital Trade Protocol flowing from the Agreement, which is an ambitious and comprehensive framework designed to facilitate digital trade and unlock the potential of the digital economy right across the continent.”

“According to the joint World Bank-WTO Policy Note last year on digital trade in Africa, if African countries were to improve their digital regulatory environment to that of the best on the continent, trade costs could fall by 17% in goods and 25% in business and professional services.”

“So, we look forward to Nigeria implementing that Digital Trade Protocol to the benefit of its businesses, its consumers, and its future growth.”

As a co-chair of the informal working group on gender, Manley also lauded Nigeria’s commitment to empowering women economically.

“As a little practical example, I was delighted to hear the recent story of Madam Chinwe Izenwa. A 73-year-old female entrepreneur and CEO of LeLook, a bags and fashion accessories company, who was the first Nigerian, I understand, to use the AfCFTA’s Guided Trade Initiative,” he said.

“She has even given herself the nickname 0001, as she holds the first Agreement certificate of origin.”

“An excellent example of Nigeria’s action on women’s economic empowerment, delivering real-world benefits.”

Manley commended Nigeria’s proactive engagement in the WTO, describing the country as a friend to the multilateral system.

Acknowledging the leadership of Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the WTO director-general, he described her as the organisation’s most renowned Nigerian.

  • ‘NIGERIA HAS BEEN A STRONG ALLY IN PLURI-LATERAL NEGOTIATIONS’

Manley also commended Adamu Abdulhamid, chair of the WTO trade policy committee, for his significant contributions.

He stated that the organisation would particularly acknowledge Nigeria’s efforts in dispute settlement, as the focal point for the African Group, and in fisheries.

“Nigeria has been a strong ally in pluri-lateral negotiations, whether on Services Domestic Regulation, Investment Facilitation for Development, and e-commerce,” he said.

“While we may not always see eye to eye, Nigeria has, rightly, kept our feet to the fire in ensuring that those pluri-lateral outcomes are balanced for all Members.”

“Thanks to Nigeria’s input, we can be confident that the agreements reached are a fair compromise of ambition, commercial value, and inclusivity.”

“We were glad to have reached a stabilised text on e-commerce this summer. We welcome your confirmation, Permanent Secretary, this morning that consultations are ongoing back in Nigeria and we hope to count you as one of the Agreement’s founding parties as we move swiftly forward towards legal incorporation.”

Manley encouraged Nigeria to continue its reform efforts, adding that “Only the things for which you have struggled will last.”

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