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BUSINESS: Naira May Fall To N1,993 Per Dollar — BMI Report

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The naira is forecasted to depreciate to N1,993 against the United States dollar by 2028, posing a significant challenge to Nigeria’s pharmaceutical industry, particularly in importing essential medical devices, a new report by BMI, a Fitch Solutions subsidiary, has revealed.

In the report titled “Weak Naira and Structural Challenges to Constrain Nigeria’s Medical Devices Market Growth”, BMI projected that despite an anticipated rebound in the economy, Nigeria’s medical devices sector will face operational and demand challenges in the near term.

The report noted that Nigeria relies on imports for over 95 per cent of its medical devices, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in exchange rates.

“Continued weakness of the naira will increase medical device import costs and erode consumer purchasing power. Similar to other markets in sub-Saharan Africa, Nigeria heavily relies on medical device imports, with reliance of over 95 per cent.”

“We expect that the naira will end 2028 at N1,993/$ from N306/$ in 2018. As the naira weakens, the cost of importing medical devices will continually increase, eroding both the health system and patient purchasing power especially to invest in essential medical technologies given underfunding of the public health sector.”

“This would particularly affect high-cost demand for devices such as diagnostics, orthopaedics and dental products. On the export front, a weaker naira will enhance the competitiveness of locally manufactured medical devices, fostering growth in the sector,” the report stated.

While a weaker naira could enhance the competitiveness of locally manufactured medical devices, BMI highlighted persistent barriers to local production.

These include a scarcity of skilled labour, limited access to modern technology, and inadequate infrastructure, which continue to undermine manufacturing efforts despite government incentives.

The administration of President Bola Tinubu has implemented measures aimed at easing these pressures. In June 2024, an executive order was issued to reduce medical service costs by eliminating tariffs, excise duties, and Value Added Tax on specific machinery, equipment, and raw materials, with the goal of lowering local production costs.

However, BMI observed that the medical devices market would continue to face significant challenges in the short term.

The report forecasted that Nigeria’s medical devices market could grow to a value of N171.1bn (£344.7m) by 2028, supported by a large population, an increasing focus on universal health coverage, and the double burden of chronic and communicable diseases.

Nigeria’s economy is expected to recover in 2025, with a growth rate of 3.0 per cent predicted for 2024, compared to 2.9 per cent recorded in 2023.

However, persistent issues such as high inflation, tighter monetary policies, and weak foreign direct investment could weigh on the growth of the medical devices sector.

Further observation showed that the naira traded at N1,681.42 per dollar on Monday, November 11, 2024, reflecting a marginal decline of 0.15 per cent from Friday’s closing rate of N1,678.87, as recorded on November 8, 2024.

FX turnover on the official market dropped significantly by 66.41 per cent, from $1.4bn on Friday to $471.5m on Monday, indicating lower market activity.

During the period under review, the naira reached a high of N1,695 and a low of N1,631.

BIG STORY

UPDATE: Nigerian Police File 12 Fresh Cybercrime Charges Against Dele Farotimi [PHOTOS]

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The Nigerian Police have brought new cybercrime charges against detained human rights lawyer, Dele Farotimi.

The additional 12-count charge was filed on Friday, December 6, 2024, before a Federal High Court sitting in Ado-Ekiti.

This comes after 16 charges were previously filed against Farotimi by the Police on Wednesday.

It will be recalled that the human rights lawyer was arrested in Lagos on Tuesday, December 3, 2024, by operatives of the Ekiti State Police Command.

The following day, he was arraigned in a magistrate court in Ado-Ekiti on a 16-count charge of defamation of character against Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN) Afe Babalola, who was mentioned in his book, ‘Nigeria and its Criminal Justice System’.

In his ruling, Magistrate Abayomi Adeosun remanded Farotimi in prison custody until December 10.

In the latest charges, Farotimi is accused of making defamatory statements on Seun Okinbaloye’s podcast, based on content in his book, ‘Nigeria and Its Criminal Justice System’.

He is further accused of intimidating and maligning Afe Babalola during the podcast.

The lawyer was also charged with publicly discussing details of legal actions taken against him during a press conference on December 2, 2024, prior to his arrest on December 3, 2024.

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BIG STORY

Taraba Governor’s Sister “Accidentally Shot By Police Escort” During Gunmen Attack

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Atsi Kefas, the sister of Agbu Kefas, the governor of Taraba State, was reportedly shot by a police escort during an attack by gunmen on Thursday.

According to Zagazola Makama, a counter-insurgency publication focused on the Lake Chad region, Jumai, the governor’s mother, and Atsi were traveling along Kente Road in Wukari LGA of Taraba State when they were attacked.

The publication stated that a police officer assigned to escort the family “accidentally shot Atsi” while attempting to fend off the assailants.

Following the attack, troops rescued the victims and evacuated both Jumai and Atsi Kefas from the scene using an air ambulance.

The injured sister was rushed to the hospital for treatment, and her condition remains undisclosed at the time of this report.

The vehicle used by the gunmen was recovered by security forces, along with an empty magazine, and the luggage of the passengers was found in the vehicle.

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BIG STORY

Governor Sanwo-Olu Seeks Investors For Proposed $1.9bn Purple, Green Rail Line Projects

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Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the governor of Lagos, announced that he is seeking investors for the proposed $1.9 billion purple and green rail lines.

Sanwo-Olu made the statement on Thursday at the ongoing Africa Investment Forum (AIF) Market Days in Rabat, Morocco.

Discussing the state’s investment strategy for the purple rail line, Sanwo-Olu emphasized that the project presents a strong investment opportunity with promising returns.

The governor expressed enthusiasm about moving forward with the project, stating that his administration is ready to be flexible with investors to ensure its successful delivery.

He added that the purple rail line would connect Lagos and Ogun states.

“The purple rail line is a 60 km electrified rail system that will include 16 stations and seamlessly integrate with existing metro and bus services to enhance connectivity,” Sanwo-Olu said.

“It is projected to serve over 300,000 passengers daily, significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions by encouraging a shift from road to rail transportation.”

Sanwo-Olu informed potential funders that the immediate requirement is $866.05 million, which will cover survey and design, as well as civil works.

He outlined a short-to-medium-term funding projection of $602.81 million and a long-term funding plan of $497.7 million.

The governor highlighted that the state is working toward a transportation master plan aimed at creating a brighter, more effective, efficient, sustainable, and safer system.

He emphasized the state’s focus on integrated transportation systems and mass transit solutions to reduce traffic congestion and commuting time, ultimately improving the health and wellbeing of residents.

He further explained that each corridor features a bus rapid transit (BRT) system and waterway routes, designed to take commuters off the major roads and alleviate traffic.

“Two of the stations that were built on the same line are also connected with water, rail and BRT altogether,” he said.

  • ‘THERE WOULD BE NO BACKLASHES, DISPLACED PERSONS WOULD BE COMPENSATED’

Sanwo-Olu assured investors that the state is committed to ensuring there would be no disruptions or backlash from displaced communities.

“The government would even pay compensations to displaced persons where necessary, so no additional burden is brought to would-be funders,” he added.

“We don’t want to lock in anything, we know all the various options. We understand how some of these things work.”

“We’re willing and ready to make those transactions work. We’ve seen from our experience how to guarantee revenue assurance.”

“We have a payment system under the cowry card, which is where we’d block leakages to a large extent, and the same contactless card can be used on our bus, train, and ferry, where it will all be integrated.”

“On a daily basis, they know what the traffic is and what is due to everybody. Whatever, based on the study or the ridership guarantee, we would look at it.”

Sanwo-Olu added that the state government would need “to either top up on other forms of revenue that can help out in terms of advertising rides on the corridor.”

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