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Two Major Elections Reveal ADC’s Weakness Months After Coalition Launch

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When the opposition coalition, the African Democratic Congress (ADC), debuted in July, it did so with fanfare, casting itself as a new political force determined to shake up Nigeria’s political landscape.

When the opposition coalition, the African Democratic Congress (ADC), was launched in July, it entered the political scene with great fanfare, positioning itself as a force capable of reshaping Nigeria’s political landscape.

The coalition, which includes prominent figures such as Peter Obi, the 2023 Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate; Atiku Abubakar, former vice-president; David Mark, former senate president; Nasir el-Rufai, former Kaduna governor; and Rotimi Amaechi, ex-governor of Rivers State, vowed to challenge the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and resist what it described as attempts to turn Nigeria into a one-party state.

Its formation was widely seen as a strategic response to the fragmentation of the opposition vote in the 2023 elections — a split that ultimately paved the way for President Bola Tinubu’s victory.

However, months after its highly publicised debut, the coalition’s electoral performance has fallen short of expectations.

The first major test for the ADC-led alliance came in August 2025, when the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) conducted a series of by-elections across federal and state constituencies. The coalition failed to win a single seat and has yet to record any victories in local government polls.

A second opportunity came with the Anambra governorship election held on November 8. The ADC finished fifth with just 8,208 votes. The All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) won decisively with 422,664 votes, followed by the APC with 99,445, the Young Progressives Party (YPP) with 37,753, and the Labour Party (LP) with 10,576.

Days before the poll, Atiku Abubakar endorsed the ADC candidate, John Nwosu, urging Anambra voters to “end the era of poor governance.” In a statement, the former vice-president described the election as “a unique opportunity to ensure that the ruling APC does not get the chance of practising its notoriety of snatching and running away with the mandate of the people.”

But Atiku’s appeal failed to translate into votes.

Before the coalition adopted the ADC as its platform, the party held only two seats in the House of Representatives. On July 2, opposition leaders formally announced the ADC as their umbrella platform, followed by a leadership shake-up that saw Ralph Nwosu’s executives step aside for a transitional team headed by David Mark.

The next day, Peter Obi reaffirmed his commitment to the coalition, describing it as a necessary step to confront Nigeria’s challenges and chart a new direction for the country.

“Our commitment is to sacrifice and work together towards the 2027 general elections, ensuring that Nigeria gets a competent, capable, and compassionate leadership that will prioritise the nation’s future by putting the welfare of Nigerians first,” Obi said.

Atiku, meanwhile, has continued to promote the ADC on social media as a credible platform for a broad opposition movement aimed at “rescuing Nigeria” from what he calls the “incompetent and dictatorial” APC government. Since mid-2025, he has urged Nigerians — especially youths and grassroots organisers — to engage with the ADC, attend its events, and present a united front against entrenched political interests.

Despite this enthusiasm, the coalition’s poor showing in recent elections has exposed the gap between national visibility and voter mobilisation. Analysts say the results suggest that high-profile endorsements do not necessarily influence outcomes at the state level.

Losses not indicative of 2027 prospects 

Speaking to TheCable on Monday, a senior party member, Abdullahi, argued that the dynamics of local elections differ from national contests. He noted that even at the peak of the PDP’s dominance, Anambra remained under APGA’s control, and the APC has also struggled to gain ground there.

He added that the coalition was still in its infancy when the August by-elections took place and that the candidates in those races had been nominated before the alliance was formed. “These results do not reflect how Nigerians are likely to respond to the coalition in future elections,” Abdullahi said.

What’s Next

As preparations for the 2027 general elections gather pace, the ADC coalition faces a critical test: transforming its political visibility into organisational strength. Its ability to build a credible grassroots voter base — beyond elite networks — will determine whether it can pose a serious challenge to the APC or remain a short-lived political experiment.

The Ekiti governorship election next year will offer the coalition another opportunity to demonstrate whether it can turn its ambitions into real electoral strength.

BIG STORY

Senate Orders Nationwide Crackdown As Lead Poisoning Hits Ogijo Lagos

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The Senate on Thursday expressed grave alarm over a fast-spreading lead-poisoning crisis in Ogijo, a densely populated community straddling the boundary between Ikorodu (Lagos) and Ogun East Senatorial District.

It described it as a full-blown environmental and public-health emergency that threatened thousands of lives.

The motion, jointly sponsored by Mukhail Adetokunbo Abiru (Lagos East) and Gbenga Daniel (Ogun East), was brought under Matters of Urgent Public Importance pursuant to Orders 41 and 51 of the Senate Standing Orders, 2023 (as amended).

Lawmakers cited scientifically verified reports of extreme lead contamination linked to a cluster of used lead-acid battery recycling factories operating in the area for years.

According to the Senate, the crisis had left residents battling persistent headaches, abdominal pain, memory loss, seizures, and developmental delays in children, symptoms strongly associated with chronic lead exposure.

The chamber noted with concern that the Federal Government had already begun clampdowns, with the Minister of State for Labour and Employment, Nkeiruka Onyejeocha, shutting down seven battery-recycling factories and ordering a temporary halt to lead-ingot exportation pending safety investigations.

Senators said they were “alarmed that residents have for several years complained of persistent headaches, abdominal pains, loss of memory, seizures, cognitive decline, and developmental delays in children, symptoms strongly associated with chronic lead exposure.”

Despite years of community protests, the smelters allegedly continued operating openly, releasing toxic fumes and particulate dust into surrounding homes, markets and playgrounds.

“It is regrettable that despite years of community outcry, smelter furnaces continued operating, discharging toxic fumes from melted batteries directly into surrounding neighbourhoods. We are concerned that while some factory operators deny wrongdoing, community exposure remains extreme.

“The Senate acknowledges and commends the proactive efforts of the Lagos and Ogun State Governments and their relevant ministries and agencies for conducting early inspections, raising community awareness and working with federal authorities to contain the exposure,” lawmakers said.

The chamber further cited disturbing findings by independent testing commissioned by The Examination and The New York Times, which revealed severe contamination in both residents’ blood samples and soil within the industrial cluster.

Some environmental samples, senators noted, showed lead levels “up to 186 times the global maximum safety threshold.”

A major dimension of the scandal, lawmakers said, was that lead processed in Ogijo had already been traced into international supply chains, reaching global battery and automobile manufacturers who either did not address the findings or relied solely on assurances from Nigerian suppliers.

The Senate lamented that while some factory operators deny wrongdoing, community exposure remains dangerously high amid weak accountability and gaps in Nigeria’s regulatory frameworks.

Senators nonetheless praised emergency actions taken by the Lagos and Ogun state governments, commending their early inspections, public-awareness campaigns and support for affected families.

Citing Sections 14(2)(b) and 20 of the 1999 Constitution, the Senate emphasised the government’s responsibility to safeguard citizens’ welfare and ensure a safe environment.

Following extensive deliberations, the Senate resolved to commend both the Federal Government and the Lagos and Ogun State Governments for their swift intervention in shutting down non-compliant lead-recycling factories.

Lawmakers urged continued enforcement, including factory closures, export suspensions, prosecution of violators, and strengthened industrial safety monitoring.

The chamber mandated the Federal Ministry of Health and the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) to deploy emergency medical teams to Ogijo to provide free toxicology screenings, blood-lead management, chelation therapy, and ongoing treatment for affected children and adults.

Simultaneously, the Federal Ministry of Environment and NESREA were directed to carry out comprehensive environmental remediation, mapping soil, groundwater, air, and household dust contamination.

The Senate also called on the Federal Ministry of Solid Minerals and relevant regulatory agencies to enforce strict compliance standards for battery-recycling and lead-processing operations nationwide.

Additionally, it recommended establishing a National Lead Poisoning Response and Remediation Task Force within NEMA and directed the Committee on Legislative Compliance to monitor progress and report back within six weeks.

The Senate described the Ogijo crisis as a preventable tragedy that must serve as a national wake-up call on industrial pollution, regulatory failure and the urgent need to protect vulnerable communities from hazardous waste.

 

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BIG STORY

Some Politicians Funding Terrorism In Nigeria, Says Ex-CDS Lucky Irabor

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Lucky Irabor, ex-chief of defence staff (CDS), says some political actors are involved in terrorism financing in Nigeria.

On November 30, Daniel Bwala, Special Adviser to President Bola Tinubu on policy communication, said the federal government would soon reveal the identities of terrorism sponsors.

Bwala said the government is “making far-reaching decisions”, adding that the outcome would be noticeable shortly.

The presidential aide said terrorism is a global problem, adding that “the demand is now on the world governments to see how they can cooperate with Nigeria”.

Speaking on ‘Politics Today’, a Channels Television programme, on Monday, Irabor said certain politicians exploit insecurity for personal advantage.

Asked directly if politicians fund terror networks, he replied with “some politicians”.

Irabor said some party chieftains capitalize on instability to create an impression that they can offer better leadership.

“Some politicians have now taken advantage of the state of under-governance, as it were, to perhaps gain some form of leverage to give the impression that they can do better,” he said.

“Others perhaps want to give an impression they can do better, to score the point that there is poor governance… they could also instigate a certain crisis one way or the other.

“Those who believe that it’s purely political, maybe, have their argument from that angle. For me, it will be wrong.”

Irabor also addressed criticisms of the federal government’s refusal to publish names of alleged terror financiers.

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BIG STORY

JUST IN: Tinubu Nominates Ex-CDS Christopher Musa As Defence Minister

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President Bola Tinubu has nominated a former Chief of Defence Staff, General Christopher Musa, as the new Minister of Defence.

The nomination was contained in a letter sent to Senate President Godswill Akpabio on Tuesday, announcing Musa as the replacement for Alhaji Mohammed Badaru, who resigned from the position on Monday due to health reasons.

In his letter to the Senate, the President expressed confidence in Musa’s capacity to lead the Defence Ministry and strengthen Nigeria’s security framework.

The nomination was confirmed in a statement issued by the President’s Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga.

The statement added, “General Musa, 58, on December 25, is a distinguished soldier who served as Chief of Defence Staff from 2023 until October 2025. He won the Colin Powell Award for Soldiering in 2012.

“Born in Sokoto in 1967, General Musa received his primary and secondary education there before attending the College of Advanced Studies in Zaria. He graduated in 1986 and enrolled at the Nigerian Defence Academy the same year, earning a Bachelor of Science degree upon graduation in 1991.

“General Musa was commissioned into the Nigerian Army as a Second Lieutenant in 1991 and has since had a distinguished career. His appointments include General Staff Officer 1, Training/Operations at HQ 81 Division; Commanding Officer, 73 Battalion; Assistant Director, Operational Requirements, Department of Army Policy and Plans; and Infantry Representative/Member, Training Team, HQ Nigerian Army Armour Corps.

“In 2019, he served as Deputy Chief of Staff, Training/Operations, Headquarters Infantry Centre and Corps; Commander, Sector 3, Operation Lafiya Dole; and Commander, Sector 3 Multinational Joint Task Force in the Lake Chad Region.

“In 2021, General Musa was appointed Theatre Commander, Operation Hadin Kai. He later became Commander of the Nigerian Army Infantry Corps before being appointed Chief of Defence Staff by President Tinubu in 2023.”

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