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Subsidy: Reps Call For NNPCL Audit Over Unaccounted N2tn Assets

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The House of Representatives has called for a forensic audit of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited to determine its assets and liabilities as well as its current market value.

The audit, according to the House, is required as a result of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation’s transformation into a limited liability company.

In its report, which was presented to the legislature on Tuesday, the House’s Ad Hoc committee on NNPCL’s assets and liabilities claimed that its findings showed that while assets worth $64 billion (roughly N28 trillion) were unveiled by former president Muhammadu Buhari, only $58.8 billion (roughly N26 trillion at the official rate of N450 to $1) was transferred during the transfer, leaving a balance of N2 trillion unaccounted for.

It recommended that NNPCL should re-assess its accounting system.

The committee presented its report a week after the Group Chief Executive Officer of the NNPCL, Mele Kyari,  said the Federal Government still owed the company N2.8tn that it had spent on petrol subsidy.

The House on December 1, 2021, resolved to set up an ad hoc committee to determine the assets and liabilities of the NNPC before it was fully privatised as prescribed by the Petroleum Industry Act, which was to carry out the exercise within eight weeks.

The probe was based on a motion moved by a member, Ibrahim Isiaka, titled ‘Need to ascertain the total consolidated inventory, assets, interests and liabilities of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation and its subsidiaries before transfer to the NNPC Limited to ensure a glossary accounting system.

Following the enactment of the Petroleum Industry Act, the NNPC and its subsidiaries had been unbundled with the creation of an NNPC Limited, the Nigerian Upstream Regulatory Commission, and the Nigerian Midstream and the Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority.

The Corporate Affairs Commission also in September 2021 incorporated the NNPCL in line with the provisions of the PIA.

The House, at the plenary on Tuesday, considered and adopted the report of its ad hoc committee to ascertain the total inventory, assets, interest, and liabilities of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation and its subsidiaries.

When contacted, the spokesperson for the NNPCL, Garba-Deen Muhammad, told our correspondent that the firm had nothing to hide and would answer any question from the Reps members.

“They have been asking us questions and we’ve been answering them. So if they have any more questions for us, we will oblige and attend to them.

“We respect them and recognise their rights to perform their functions. NNPCL doesn’t have anything to hide.”

On refineries, he explained that the company would ensure that the facilities deliver up to expectation and was working hard to get the plants running.

In its report, the committee stated, ‘’From findings, asset worth $64bn (about N28tn) was unveiled by Mr President (Buhari) but during transfer, only $58.8bn (N26tn at the official rate of N450 to $1) was transferred, leaving a balance of N2tn unaccounted. NNPCL should be meant to re-assess her accounting system.”

The committee recommended that the NNPCL and Federal Government “should work modalities that will ensure removal of subsidy in accordance with the Petroleum Industry Act that stipulates that subsidy be removed within six months of operation of the PIA.”

The committee also recommended that the investments and operations of international oil companies should “be further investigated and scrutinised” before implementation and Fund for Innovation Development.”

The committee further recommended that “External auditors should audit the liabilities of over N2tn being inherited by NNPC Limited on behalf of the federation. There is a need to further establish the current market values of NNPC, especially under a devalued naira regime.

“The Federal Government should investigate foreign desk offices of NNPC subsidiaries with locations abroad, and make IOCs establish offices in Nigeria and develop a framework that will make the companies answerable to the laws of Nigeria.

“Forensic auditors to first audit all NNPC accounts with all the banks to verify the following: the true amount owed any bank as per loan(s) granted, the exact movements of funds from NNPC accounts as well as overcharges by banks which is a huge amount of money and will be a source of additional revenues to the Federal Government, and the defaulting banks should be made to refund the sum discovered back to NNPC/Federal Government with interest.”

Port-Harcourt equipment

The committee also recommended that the NNPC should “auction the equipment and transfer proceeds of equipment awarded for Port Harcourt refinery in the sum of $250m (yet to be supplied) to NNPC Limited.”

According to its findings, the committee noted that the NNPC was alleged to have over 25 subsidiaries, whose profits, assets, and liabilities were transmissible to NNPC Ltd, “but the NNPC only transmitted records of only 21 subsidiaries.”

The committee noted that the NNPC, in its latest Group Audited Financial Statements, reported total assets of N15.84tn for 2020 and N16.2tn for 2021.

“However, in direct contrast to that position, NAPIMS alone, in its audited account for 2020 reported N21.04tn,” it stated.

According to it, NAPIMS has total assets of N4.84tn more than NNPCL, which it claimed was a mystery that needed to be unravelled.

The report partly read, “The issue of subsidy/under-recovery that has bedevilled the nation over the years seems to have reared its ugly head in our findings. There is evidence that the subsidy/under-recovery cost is being overestimated. The same costs seem to be charged against the federation in the audited accounts of both NNPC and NAPIMS.

“Nigerian publications on the 3rd of January 2022, pointed to the fact that NNPC is asking the Federal Government to pay additional $1.5bn to five IOCs as outstanding cash-call balance. This is additional liability about to be passed on to NNPC Ltd.

“However, our findings show that as a matter of fact, the federation has actually paid the liabilities of over $2bn through President Muhammadu Buhari’s directive; found a liability of over N2tn that NNPC Ltd is about inheriting on behalf of the federation. No reasonable basis has been established for this liability which is associated with Nigeria Agip Oil Company.”

The committee said available information showed that the NNPC assets were stated at “historical cost and written-down values,” while some subsidiaries of the NNPC, with locations in foreign countries, buy crude oil and gas from NNPC “without evidence of their payments for the purchases.”

It added, “These companies are indicted to be operating without employees and no fixed assets; yet over N30bn is traceable to some of them;

“Standard Chartered Bank is closing all its Nigerian branches and the nation has so much to worry about, considering the huge funds warehoused therein in the names of NAPIMS and NNPC.”

According to the committee, 80 companies supposedly owe the sum of $5.76bn on royalties, $1.0bn on gas flare penalty, while concession rental is $13.173m and royalty on gas is $409.58m, with royalty on gas in naira, N39.82bn.

“Hence, the recommendation is to recover the above debts and transmit to NNPC Ltd or confiscation of assets value of the debt from the debtors and transfer to NNPC Ltd,” the panel declared.

The committee also disclosed that NNPC spent over N1.48tn ($396m) on the rehabilitation of refineries between 2015 and 2022 “without significant outcome.” The Port Harcourt refineries received about $1.5bn for total rehabilitation, which was awarded to Technimont SPA of Italy, “whereas the same refinery awarded the contract for equipment of the refinery for over $250m yet to be delivered.”

The report further read in part, “The Ministry of Petroleum Resources; Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning; Central Bank of Nigeria, Auditor-General for the Federation and the Accountant-General of the Federation could not provide the committee with the exact monetary value of total assets and liabilities of NNPC. The CBN was only able to provide how much was paid into the Federation Account by NNPC and deposit banks of the organisation.”

The House of Representatives also called on the Federal Government to outsource the nation’s three refineries to international companies.

The refineries have a combined capacity of 410,000 barrels per day, for maximum production

The House also asked the NNPCL to take full responsibility for the delays in rehabilitating the moribund refineries, urging the nation’s oil firm to be sincere with Nigerians on the true state of the facilities.

However, the Trade Union Congress opposed the calls for the privatization of the refineries, describing the move as a ploy by the political elite to sell the assets to their cronies.

The Secretary General of the congress, Nuhu Toro who spoke in an interview with our correspondent in Abuja described the idea as “laughable.”

He said, “It is laughable. They want to sell the refineries to themselves. We don’t agree. It is a no, no. They can’t be allowed to sell our national assets.”

PENGASSAN backs  privatisation

But the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria said the call by the National Assembly to allow private entities to run Nigeria’s refineries was in order.

The National Public Relations Officer, PENGASSAN, Kingsley Udoidua, said, “PENGASSAN has always declared what should be done on matters like this. If you look at the NLNG (Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas Limited) model, it is both the combination of privatisation and the government’s stake in it, which is the model we’ve been canvassing for.

‘’So, if that’s what the National Assembly means, then it is fine because PENGASSAN’s position is that the government should follow the NLNG model. If you study that model, it is partly government and private.’’

The Director General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association, Wale Oyerinde, emphasised the critical importance of transparency in the privatisation of refineries, as he lent his support to the growing demand for the privatisation of the facilities.

He said, “The oil refineries are some of the many national assets that have faced serious operational challenges for reasons yet unclear. To improve efficiency in the operations of government assets, we believe that transparent privatisation, with Nigerians owning a majority share, will serve the best interest of Nigeria and its citizens.’’

LCCI speaks

Also speaking, the Deputy-President of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Gabriel Idahosa said the refineries should have been privatised a long time ago.

According to him, allowing the private sector to take over the refineries would engender competition which would inevitably lead to growth, similar to what followed the privatisation of the telecommunications sector.

Idahosa said, “We’ve been saying it for over 30 years. At the time that Yar’Adua came in, two of the refineries had already been privatised. They reversed the privatisation, and that is what we have been suffering from till now. If they did not reverse the privatisation at the time, we would not be talking about anything like fuel subsidy or building of refineries.’’

Similarly, an economic expert at Olabisi Onabanjo University, Prof Sheriffdeen Tella, argued that if the refineries were privatised, it would present another avenue for the government to draw in revenue through Company Income Tax, Personal Income Tax, Land Grants, among others.

In the report on the state of the refineries, the House also frowned on the slow rehabilitation of the Port Harcourt Refining Company, blaming the NNPCL and demanding that the contractor be sanctioned for failing to meet some of the terms of the contract.

The committee recommended that the NNPCL should take full advantage of the Petroleum Industry Act 2021 to fast-track the rehabilitation programme of the refineries “for a deregulated business environment and restore the refineries to minimum 90 percent nameplate capacity utilisation.”

The committee also said the NNPCL and the contractor, Tecnimont SPA of Italy, should ensure that Phase 1 of the rehabilitation works in Refinery Area 5 of the Old Port Harcourt Refinery, which has a processing capacity of 60,000 barrels per day, is restored to 54,000 barrels per day of processing capacity, representing 90 percent capacity utilisation, “should unfailingly meet the new target date of September 2023,” from by March 2023.

The NNPCL and Tecnimont SPA of Italy were also urged to ensure that Phase 2 of the rehabilitation works in Refinery Areas 1&2 of the New Port Harcourt Refinery, with an installed capacity of 150,000 barrels per day, is restored to the estimated processing capacity of 135,000 barrels per day, representing 90 percent capacity utilization.

This is expected to lead to a combined processing capacity of 189,000 barrels per day from the OPHR and the NPHR and achieve the targeted date of December 2023.

The committee also said the NNPCL and another contractor, Daewoo E&C Nigeria Limited, should ensure that the WRPC quick-fix repairs project for the restoration of Refinery Areas 1&2 to operate at a minimum 60 percent, with an expected processing capacity of 75,000 barrels per day petroleum product output, meets the 12 months’ target date and comes on-stream in September 2023.

The House also resolved that “The NNPCL should ensure the immediate award of contract for the rehabilitation of the Kaduna Refinery and Petrochemical Company.

“The NNPCL should strive to achieve the three to four-year standard regular Turn Around Maintenance global best practice for the refineries after the full completion of rehabilitation works to ensure sustainable refinery operations and value maximization.’’

The report also stated, “The Federal Government and the NNPCL should consider outsourcing the Operations and Maintenance of the refineries to reputable international oil companies to guarantee the reliability, optimal operational availability and to maximise value for money to the nation;

“The Federal Government and the NNPCL should suspend the Direct Supply-Direct Purchase (oil swap) arrangement, remove subsidy on Petroleum Motor Spirit, deregulate prices on the product to ensure competitiveness and provide adequate palliative measures to reduce anticipated economic impact and hardship on Nigerians and the economy.”

The House equally resolved that “a forensic audit of all the rehabilitation projects in the three refineries be further conducted, as obvious omissions were noted in the submissions made by the NNPCL, seeming duplication of projects observed and possible double payments made.”

The lawmakers further resolved that the 10th National Assembly be mandated to carry out legislative oversight on the ongoing rehabilitation works to ensure that the nation achieves the expected processing capacity of 189,000 barrels per day from the PHRC and 75,000bspd from WRPC, plus additional processing capacity from the Dangote Refinery, in order to meet the nation’s domestic needs for petroleum products by December 2023.

The 10th Assembly was further mandated to ensure continuous legislative oversight of the ongoing rehabilitation programme by the NNPCL at the Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna refineries in order to achieve project target timelines and rehabilitation of the refineries to bring them back to maximum refining capacity.

The House further resolved that “The Federal Government should ensure the activation of all the 37 non-active licences approved and issued to certain private refineries for maximum operations and competition, in order to eliminate the possibility of a monopoly in the downstream sector or revoke such licences and reissue to desiring competent companies.’’

It added, “The NNPCL should be called to take responsibility for the continued failed assurances for the commencement of operations and coming on-stream of the Port Harcourt refinery and the failure of the contractor (Tecnimont SPA of Italy) to deliver on the contract terms and project target timelines.

‘’The NNPCL (should) be called to be sincere to Nigerians in the overall interest of the nation on when exactly the Port Harcourt Refinery Rehabilitation Project will be delivered and the facility fully functional.

“The contractor handling the rehabilitation of the Port Harcourt refinery, Tecnimont SPA of Italy, be reprimanded for the failure to deliver on the terms of the contract agreement, demonstrating a lack of capacity to achieve expected project target timelines, and continuously shifting the expected operational dates from December 2022 to March 2023; from March 2023 to the second Quarter of 2023, and from second Quarter of 2023 to now September 2023.”

The committee also recommended that the NNPCL should pay the €202,500.03 outstanding payments due to SAIPEM Nigeria Limited on the contract for the Technical Plant Survey of Warri and Kaduna Refineries as the job was concluded and fully reported.

According to the lawmakers, the nation’s three refineries became unproductive from the year 2010, making the following range of losses: PHRC at 7.6 percent losses to the tune of N132.526bn from 2012; WRPC at 6 at losses to the tune of N111.376bn from 2014; and KRPC at 10 percent losses to the tune of N122.621bn from 2014.

 

Credit: The Punch

BIG STORY

JAPA: UK Net Migration Falls By 20% Amid Visa Restrictions

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Net migration to the United Kingdom has dropped significantly, with figures for the year ending June 2024 standing at 728,000, a 20 per cent decline from 906,000 the previous year, according to the Office for National Statistics, on Thursday.

The reduction is largely attributed to changes in visa policies implemented by the UK government earlier in the year.

“Our latest estimates indicate a fall in long-term net migration (the difference between people coming to live in the UK and those leaving to live elsewhere).”

“Our provisional estimates show a 20% reduction between our updated estimate for year ending June 2023 (906,000) and our latest estimate for YE June 2024 (728,000).”

“This fall is driven by a decline in long-term immigration mainly because of declining numbers of dependants arriving on study visas,” the report said.

Restrictions introduced in January 2024 prevented many international students from bringing dependants, resulting in a decrease of 94,000 in study visa applications compared to the previous year.

Similar rules introduced in March also prohibited care workers from bringing family members.

While applications for skilled worker visas increased slightly early in the year, there has been a decline since April 2024, when the government revised the list of eligible jobs for the visa category.

The ONS reported that of the 1.2 million people who migrated to the UK during this period, 86 per cent were non-EU nationals, 10 per cent EU nationals, and 5 per cent British nationals.

Indian nationals formed the largest group of non-EU migrants for both work and study purposes, with 116,000 arriving for work and 127,000 for education.

Dependants accompanying work visa holders totalled 233,000, up from 166,000 the previous year, although recent data indicates this number may now be falling.

Emigration also rose, with 479,000 people leaving the UK by June 2024, compared to 414,000 the previous year. EU nationals made up 44 per cent of those leaving, while 39 per cent were non-EU nationals, and 16 per cent were British citizens.

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BIG STORY

Port Harcourt Refinery: Marketers Threaten Boycott As NNPCL Juggles Petrol Price

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  • Dealers Insist PMS Must Be Cheaper Than Dangote’s.
  • NNPCL Delays Price Portal Opening, Restricts Product.

 

Oil marketers have outlined the conditions under which they would consider patronizing the newly rehabilitated Port Harcourt Refinery Company (PHRC) in Rivers State. They stated that the refinery, managed by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), must offer its refined petroleum products at prices lower than those set by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

In response to claims made on Wednesday that its petrol was being sold at approximately N1,045 per litre, the NNPCL clarified that the refinery had not yet released its prices. According to the company, products from the refinery are currently being supplied only to NNPCL-owned stations.

Olufemi Soneye, the spokesperson for NNPCL, explained that the company is still reviewing its pricing structure and has not yet begun bulk sales, as its purchasing portal remains closed.

In related news, it was reported on Wednesday that oil marketers had imported a total of 105.67 million litres of petrol into the country within a span of five days.

Marketers confirmed that NNPC was selling petrol at N1,045/litre, stressing that they may be compelled to opt for petrol importation as a means of meeting local demands.

According to The Punch, a total sum of 78,800 metric tonnes representing 105.67 million litres of petrol was imported into the country in the last five days spanning November 23 and November 28.

On Tuesday, the 60,000-capacity Port-Harcourt refinery resumed operations after years of inactivity, drawing initial praise from Nigerians and industry stakeholders.

The NNPC said the newly rehabilitated complex of the old Port Harcourt refinery, which had been revamped and upgraded with modern equipment, is operating at a refining capacity of 70 per cent of its installed capacity.

NNPC added that diesel and Pour Fuel Oil would be the highest output from the refinery, with a daily capacity of 1.5 million litres and 2.1 million litres, respectively.

This is followed by a daily output of Straight-Run Gasoline (Naphtha) blended into 1.4 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), 900,000 litres of kerosene, and low-pour fuel oil of 2.1 million litres.

It was stated that about 200 trucks of petrol would be released into the Nigerian market daily.

However, claims that the national oil firm’s PMS price was higher than that of Dangote triggered diverse reactions from marketers.

The National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, told one of our correspondents that though NNPC had yet to release any price for the products from the refurbished Port Harcourt refinery, a high price would discourage marketers.

Dangote currently sells his petrol at N970/litre, while imported petrol is around that price.

Ukadike, however, noted that there was the possibility that the NNPC would review its prices downward when the Port Harcourt refinery comes fully on stream.

He confirmed that the state-owned oil company sells a litre of PMS at N1,040 or N1,045 while the Dangote refinery just reviewed its price from N990 to N970 for marketers buying a minimum of two million litres.

Ukadike did not mince words when he said independent marketers would only buy from the NNPC if its price is cheaper than that of Dangote or vice versa.

“With the Port Harcourt refinery now working, we are anticipating that any moment from now, NNPC will give us its price. Once NNPC releases its price, we will start loading from NNPC. That is subject to if it is cheaper than that of Dangote.

“The last NNPC price was N1,040 and N1,045 per litre. But I know there will be a review of prices because there has been a crash in prices globally. So, we are expecting a review. Once that review is done, I will be able to give you the actual price. I know they are reviewing it. They are on top of the matter,” the IPMAN spokesman said.

The latest development also indicates that oil marketers may commence the importation of fuel if the prices set by both domestic refineries surpass their profit margins, thereby making it more financially viable for them to rely on imported fuel rather than locally produced stock.

The National Public Relations Officer of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria, Dr Joseph Obele, had earlier said NNPC petrol was N75 higher than the N970/litre offered by Dangote refinery.

However, PETROAN’s President, Billy Gillis-Harry, in a statement denied the claim, stressing that no price has been released by the national oil firm.

He explained that members of the association bought PMS based on the old pricing structure and are still waiting for the updated prices.

The statement read, “The National Headquarters of Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, PETROAN Abuja would Like to Inform the media and the general public that no new price for PMS has been released by the NNPC port Harcourt refinery.

“Members of PETROAN only bought PMS with the old pricing template awaiting

new prices. We are excited that the production and loading of refined petroleum products have commenced at the Port Harcourt Refinery and we are expectant that soon the price of PMS will be stated by NNPC to the benefit of Nigerians.”

  • NNPC Reacts

But in a message sent to journalists on Wednesday night, the NNPC spokesperson said the national oil firm had not started selling its products from the Port Harcourt refinery to other oil marketers.

He was reacting to an earlier claim by the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria that the newly rehabilitated Port-Harcourt refinery was selling at N1,045/litre to oil marketers.

He noted that only NNPCL retail stations are receiving products from the refinery.

He said, “We have not yet commenced bulk sales, and we have not yet opened the purchase portal as we are still finalizing the necessary processes.”

He further stated its current stock was procured from the Dangote Refinery and includes fees and levies.

“At present, the products we are selling are what we bought from the Dangote Refinery, which includes NMDPRA fees. The product from PH is currently for our retail stores. Our prices are regularly reviewed and adjusted as required.”

  • PMS Imports

Meanwhile, fresh findings (by The Punch) have revealed that a total sum of 78,800 metric tonnes representing 105.67m litres of petrol have been imported into the country in the last five days spanning November 23 and November 28.

The product was conveyed in four vessels with the latest to be received today (Thursday, November 28, 2024), according to documents obtained from the Nigerian Ports Authority on Wednesday.

An analysis of the document showed that 38,500 metric tonnes of petrol imported on Monday, November 25 berthed at the Lagos Apapa port (Bulk Oil Plant).

Similarly, a Bedford ship conveying 10,000mt of PMS will berth at the Ebughu jetty, Calabar port in Cross Rivers on Thursday, November 28.

Two vessels that arrived on Saturday, November 23 is still waiting to berth. The ships are carrying 30,300mt of fuel.

It also revealed that 11,000 metric tonnes of base oil was imported while the 20bn Dangote refinery received crude oil worth 133,986 metric tonnes on Monday, November 27, 2024.

Last week, oil marketers and the NNPCL had stated plans to stop the import of fuel to focus on off-taking from domestic sources.

This was a fallout from a high-level meeting organised by the NNPC Group CEO Mele Kyari, and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority. In attendance were representatives of the Major Oil Marketers Association of Nigeria, Depot and Petroleum Products Marketers Association of Nigeria, and key stakeholders from companies such as 11 Plc, Matrix, and AA Rano, among other stakeholders at the NNPCL towers in Abuja.

The meeting was in growing confidence in Dangote Refinery’s ability to meet the nation’s domestic fuel demand and the need to cut fuel imports.

 

Credit: The Punch

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BIG STORY

Reps To Probe N8.4tn Allegedly Withheld By NNPCL

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On Wednesday, the House of Representatives instructed its Committees on Finance, Petroleum (Upstream and Downstream) to investigate reports from the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Responsibility Commission “alleging that the NNPC (now Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited) withheld N8.48tn as claimed subsidies for petrol.”

The House also emphasized that “the investigation will address the NEITI report stating that NNPC (now NNPCL) failed to remit $2bn (N3.6tn) in taxes to the Federal Government.”

The committees were tasked with verifying the total cumulative amount of unremitted revenue (under-recovery) from the sale of petrol by the NNPC between 2020 and 2023.

Meanwhile, the House approved the 2025-2027 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) ahead of President Bola Tinubu’s presentation of the 2025 Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly next week.

The MTEF is a multi-year plan for public expenditure that sets targets for budget spending and fiscal policy, ensuring these goals are met throughout the budget process.

The FSP outlines a country’s fiscal policy and medium-term macro-fiscal framework. It is a critical part of the annual budget process and the Medium-Term Budget Framework.

President Tinubu had transmitted the MTEF/FSP to the National Assembly on Tuesday, November 19, 2024, following the approval of the Federal Executive Council.

The Tinubu administration set the oil benchmark for 2025 at $75 per barrel, with oil production projected at 2.06 million barrels per day. The government also pegged exchange rate parameters at N1,400 per dollar, with a projected Gross Domestic Product growth rate of 6.4% per annum.

During the Committee of Supply meeting to consider the report of the Committees on Finance and National Planning and Economic Development, presiding officer and Deputy Speaker Benjamin Kalu expected the usual “carried” chorus from members when he began the clause-by-clause consideration of the 15 recommendations. However, the Minority Leader of the House, Kingsley Chinda, changed the tone of the discussion.

  • Oil Benchmark Controversy

Chinda spoke out on the $75 oil benchmark, suggesting that the 2025 figure should reflect the 2024 benchmark, pointing to the higher prices reached in early 2024.

He said, “Because of the importance and sensitivity of MTEF, I will advise that we consider it thoroughly before we pass. This is one of the most important bills this parliament will ever pass. They recommend a $75, $76.2, and $75.3 benchmark per barrel of crude for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively.

“We are aware that for 2024, what we recommended was $77.96, which is the current budget. Today, it is about $85 per barrel. That is, in the first quarter of 2024, we achieved $85 and it increased further. If we are recommending $75 for next year, which is one month away, against the $77 we recommended for this year, I will advise that we retain the minimum we adopted for this year.

“Rather than increasing, we are reducing. I am not unaware of the issue of moving to gas-propelled vehicles, leaving fossil fuel. I am aware that the world is moving that way, and reliance on crude may be a bit reduced, but going for $75 might be a bit too low,” he said.

In response, the Chairman of the House Committee on Finance, Abiodun Faleke, defended the $75 per barrel benchmark as “responsible.”

He stated, “Crude oil prices in the international market are not controlled by any country. In 2024, we were fortunate that crises in some oil-producing countries led to higher prices. In 2025, there is likely to be more stability. If you set the benchmark too high, it bloats expectations. Today, the price has crashed to $74. I think our benchmark is reasonable.”

Ibrahim Isiaka, the member representing Ifo/Ewekoro Federal Constituency, Ogun State, supported this view, saying, “If we pass this MTEF today and there is a need for amendment, this House can sit and do the necessary review. There was a time when crude sold for $120 per barrel and a time it sold for $20. Let us see this as a working document subject to review.”

At the conclusion of the debate, the $75 benchmark was adopted.

  • Oil Production

Another contentious point was the significant increase in domestic crude oil production, projected to rise from 1.78mbdp in 2024 to 2.06mbdp, 2.10mbdp, and 2.35mbdp in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.

Chinda questioned the rationale behind the 2025 projection of 2.06mbpd, saying, “We are making projections for domestic crude oil production from 1.78mbpd in 2024 to 2.06, 2.10, and 2.35mbdp for 2025, 2026, and 2027. If you look particularly at the social media, they will tell you that we are producing about 2mbpd, but the truth is, we are not. Although there is improvement, as of yesterday, the volume was 1.05mbpd.

“These are the things that will help us in proper planning so that the government does not have to always come to the National Assembly for borrowing, which also exposes us further to criticisms by Nigerians.

“We must be critical about how we set our benchmark. Our target has always been to produce 2mbpd. OPEC’s quota for us is 1.8mbpd. Putting this ambitious target of 2.06mbpd and 2.35mbpd, we might not really achieve it. If we don’t achieve it, we know we will be tightening our belts. We are already projecting that we will sell 2.06 million barrels, and if we sell less, we will get less funds. Let us reduce our target rate to 2 million barrels per day, which has always been our target,” Chinda argued.

Faleke defended the recommendation, stating, “As of today, production is close to 2mbpd. It is getting better. Operators of NUPRC gave us the details. If you put a lower projection, you are indirectly telling the operators not to work hard. Let us push them to work harder and get more funding for our country. There was a time during the era of Goodluck Jonathan when we were around 2.5mbpd. Mind you, this 2.06 projection includes all the concentrates. It is not just crude oil alone.”

Regarding the proposed exchange rate of N1,400 to the dollar for the next three years, a lawmaker from Nasarawa State, Gbefwi Gaza, said, “In the past few years, we have seen the volatility in our currency. In this country, virtually everything we do is pegged to the dollar. If we don’t have a very good proposed rate, what that means is that we have to increase our borrowing for any deficit.

“What do we have on the ground to make the naira stronger and make the dollar weaker? Yes, we have the Dangote Refinery, but we are in a phase of energy transition. We are going to the era of using more batteries and fewer fossil fuels; yet, fossil remains our main source of income.”

The House also adopted inflation rate projections of 15.75%, 14.21%, and 10.04% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.

Additionally, the House agreed that “The 2025 Federal Government of Nigeria budget proposed spending of N47.9tn, of which N34.82tn was retained. New borrowings stood at N9.22tn, made up of both domestic and foreign borrowings.”

Capital expenditure is projected at N16.48tn, with statutory transfers at N4.26tn and sinking funds at N430.27bn.

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