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BIG STORY

Sanusi Floors NNPCL, Doubts Dollar Remittance After Subsidy Removal

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Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, a former Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has advised President Bola Ahmed Tinubu against occupying the office of the Minister for Petroleum Resources, saying such arrangement will make it difficult for the country to hold the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited accountable.

He stated this while speaking at the Bank Directors Summit, which was sponsored by the Bank Directors Association of Nigeria on Thursday in Abuja.

Sanusi, who served as governor of the CBN from June 2009 to February 2014, also called the NNPC the “most opaque oil company in the world.”

The outspoken economist blasted the NNPCL for reportedly failing to send enough foreign cash into government coffers despite the current administration’s withdrawal of gasoline subsidies.

The former Emir of Kano also emphasised the need to stabilise the foreign exchange market, adding that the country’s monetary policies during the last eight years had resulted in rising inflation and an economic slowdown.

According to him, the idea of the president occupying the petroleum minister office will make it difficult for anyone to raise the question of accountability.

He said, “The exchange rate needs to be stabilised and we have to address the fundamental question, why is there no money coming in? Why is the NNPCL not able to bring in dollars? Am sorry this is the question that cost me my job and I will continue asking this question until NNPCL fixes it up or until I die. Where are the dollars? We need to shine a light on the NNPCL. The finance minister cannot tell you because he doesn’t have a monitoring system that reports to him. The finance minister can’t tell you how many barrels of petrol we produce and export. It is only the NNPCL that can give those figures. The finance ministry needs to know how much oil we produce daily, how much we sell, and where the money is going.

“We are no longer paying subsidies so where are the dollars? It was under recovery during the subsidy era and that has been stopped, so where is the money? This was the issue I raised for which I was suspended, well you can suspend me again. The NNPCL is the most opaque oil company in the world. When I was in the central bank for 15 years, they had not been audited. We have to follow the money from production to export to return, where is the money going? We paid N11tn in subsidy and there is no accountability up till now. The National Assembly called the NNPCL to bring the documents, but they refused.

He added, “By the way, let me advise that the idea of the President becoming a petroleum minister is not a good idea. The last president was the minister of petroleum for eight years.   When I was governor of the central bank we had a minister of petroleum so when I talk about the NNPCL, I could attack Diezani Madueke. Now, nobody can talk about petroleum because for eight years if you talk, you are attacking the president. We need that buffer, somebody has to be there, so a minister has to be there who is held accountable by Nigerians.”

In August, about three months after his inauguration, President Bola Tinubu split the Ministry of Petroleum Resources with the appointment of Ekperipe Ekpo as Minister of State, Gas Resources; and Heineken Lokpobiri as Minister of State, Petroleum Resources.

However, President Tinubu, in an apparent tradition of his predecessor, ex-President Muhammadu Buhari, kept the position of the substantive Minister of Petroleum Resources to himself.

  • CBN Act amendment

Sanusi also called for a proper audit of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited to unravel the country’s daily oil production, export and the accrued revenue, noting that this call was what cost him his job at the apex bank.

He maintained that the banking sector must shore up its trust deficit in the eyes of the public and that there is no need to amend the CBN Act to keep the apex bank free of political influences.

He stated, “It is important to talk about the current conversation emanating especially from the National Assembly, to amend the Central Bank Act. Let me add my voice to those who have said there is nothing wrong with the Central Bank of Nigeria Act. There is nothing wrong with BOFIA. The CBN Act is one of the best central banking laws in the world. In fact when we reviewed central bank laws, the only laws we saw that we would learn a few things from was Bank Negara of Malaysia.

“Now if people who are supposed to implement a law don’t implement it, the solution is not to change the law, and this reaction is kneejerk if you take away the independence of the central bank and bring it under political control. You would hurt the system and on long-term, you are institutionalising the lack of autonomy. The reality is, you have an independent autonomous central bank whose independence was undermined by a combination of politicians and central bank actors. It is time to go back to what the central bank is supposed to do and implement the law.”

The ex-CBN governor also spoke about the use of Ways and Means and how resisted the pressure to go beyond the limit requited by the law.

He said, “Look at the example of Ways and Means. That scenario only happened because, along the line, all checks and balances collapsed. When the National Assembly talks about Ways and Means, the question is: where were the oversight committees of the National Assembly? We were all asked when we were in position as governor to bring money, on several occasions. There was a day I was called by the finance minister that they needed N100bn. I told them they had reached the limit and we had to find other solutions to raise funds for the government without breaking the law.

“If this tells anything, it is that when people start to complain about too many regulations, they need to think about when regulation was rolled back in America. Regulations are dynamic and can change. We have to ensure that banks are well-managed and that banks understand the risks that they run. Now, regulations are one thing of course and the actual doing of the regulations is another thing.”

  •  ‘Tinubu will obey’

President Bola Tinubu, while reiterating the vision to drive financial access and impose a culture of integrity and innovative technology, vowed to ensure the CBN under his watch follows all regulations.

He also revealed plans to develop a financial regulatory framework to develop the country’s economy.

Tinubu, who was represented by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, said, “All issues raised from regulations, short-term liquidity in the foreign exchange market to long-term structural change, I can say that all those issues are been dealt with in the policies of the current administration. We will ensure to follow the law and do the right thing but it won’t all be done in one day. It is a direction of travel but it will take time to adjust.

“Finance banking is inherently risky and the dynamic nature of the challenges we face makes it imperative for us to collectively address them together, balancing the complexities of regulation and compliance in order to build the type of resilient system that would underpin the eventual rule to rapid, sustained and inclusive economic growth.”

On ongoing efforts to boost liquidity, the minister said, “All efforts are being made to bring in funds that will shore up the liquidity of the financial system of the foreign exchange system.”

On his part, the Chairman, Bank Directors Association of Nigeria, Mustafa Chike-Obi, said “The summit was focused on advocating for the banks’ interests and making sure they are willing partners.”

“This summit is a good platform to advocate for the interest of the banks, to make sure the banks are doing the right things and make sure they are a willing partner. The banks will be willing and able to partner with the government on these agendas of growth and reforms. We will work with you but we ask that you should please consult with us. The era of regulations without consultations should end. We are partners and if you consult with us, we will tell you how to accomplish the objectives more smoothly and cleanly.”

  • NNPC replies Sanusi

Meanwhile, the NNPC said it was focused at the moment on delivering the task that had been set for the national oil company, stressing that everyone was free to air their opinion.

NNPC’s Chief Corporate Communications Officer, Olufemi Soneye, told one of our correspondent that there would be no need for an official response to the claims made by the ex-CBN boss.

He explained that constant responses could hinder the enormous task before the oil company, adding that NNPC would rather concentrate in handling the work that it was established to deliver.

“Everyone is entitled to their opinion. Constant responses to every individual can hinder our work. Our focus remains on delivering energy security, managing ongoing projects, and implementing reforms,” Soneye stated.

BIG STORY

Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production Now 1.8million Barrels Per Day (BPD) — NNPCL

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited says Nigeria’s oil production has reached 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd).

According to NAN, Lawal Musa, NNPC chief production war room officer, spoke during a briefing on the national oil company’s production on Thursday.

Musa, who doubles as a senior business advisor to Mele Kyari, NNPC group chief executive officer (GCEO), said the increased oil production followed the continuous dislodgement of pipeline vandals and crude oil thieves.

He said the achievement was based on the partnership between the leadership of the company, stakeholders, and security agencies.

“We achieved this because of the clear mandate by President Bola Tinubu to ramp up crude oil production in the country,” Musa said.

On November 11, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) said Nigeria’s current production level, including crude oil and condensates, has reached 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd), up from 1.54 million bpd in September.

Enorense Amadasu, executive commissioner of development and production at NUPRC, said there are plans to raise the figure to 2 million bpd by year-end.

Amadasu said the country’s crude oil and condensate output is expected to increase amid a plan to open bids for 31 onshore and offshore oil blocks.

The next day, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said Nigeria’s average daily crude oil production, excluding condensates, increased marginally to 1.33 million bpd in October.

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BIG STORY

FEC Approves $2.2bn Borrowing Plan To Support Economic Reforms

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The federal executive council (FEC) has approved a $2.2 billion external borrowing plan to strengthen the country’s finances and support economic reforms.

Wale Edun, the minister of finance and coordinating minister of the economy, spoke to journalists at the end of the FEC meeting on Thursday, presided over by President Bola Tinubu.

The minister said the financing package will be raised through a combination of eurobonds and sukuk.

He said approximately $1.7 billion is expected from the eurobond offer and $500 million from the sukuk financing.

The minister disclosed that the borrowing would happen this fiscal year, stressing that the ultimate funding arrangement would be decided by market conditions and the transaction adviser’s counsel.

“The first objective is to complete the federal government’s external borrowing programme with the approval of the $2.2 billion financing package, which will include access to the international capital market through a combination of Eurobonds and Sukuk bonds —approximately $1.7 billion from the Eurobond offer and $500 million from Sukuk financing,” Edun said.

“The actual composition of the financing will be finalised once the national assembly has considered and approved the borrowing plan.

“After the external borrowing approval is granted, the funds will be raised as soon as possible within the year.

“The exact combination of instruments will depend on the advice of transaction advisers and market conditions when we decide to enter the market.

“Earlier in the year, we demonstrated the resilience of the Nigerian financial markets and their capacity to handle more complex and sophisticated offerings, such as the domestic issuance of dollar bonds that attracted investors from both Nigeria and abroad.”

Edun said the success of the domestic dollar bond demonstrates the Nigerian financial market’s tenacity.

He said the most recent overseas borrowing was “made possible by the government’s economic agenda, which includes market-based pricing for important economic variables like foreign exchange and petroleum goods.”

The minister said the council also approved the establishment of a N250 billion real estate investment fund with the goal of addressing Nigeria’s housing deficit.

“Approval has been granted for the Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MOFI) real estate investment fund,” he said.

“This fund will serve as the basis for the revival of long-term mortgage financing in the Nigerian economy.

“The MOFI real estate investment fund will initially amount to N250 billion and will provide low-cost, long-term mortgages to Nigerians who wish to acquire homes. It will help address part of the 22 million-unit housing deficit.

“Of course, it will create jobs, stimulate economic growth, and pave the way for other private sector investors to participate in the housing construction industry, with significant benefits for the broader economy.

“The concept is long-term. Investors will have the opportunity to earn market rates of interest and returns on investment, blended with seed funding of N150 billion.”

Edun said the initiative will provide Nigerians with the opportunity to secure mortgages at interest rates significantly lower than the current market rates, which can exceed 30 percent, with tenures that could extend up to 20 years or more.

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BIG STORY

President Tinubu May Present N47 trillion 2025 Budget To National Assembly Today

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The Federal Government on Thursday approved the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework for 2025 – 2027 and Fiscal Strategy Paper.

According to the MTEF, the proposed 2025 budget size is N47.9tn, with new borrowings of N9.22tn, the Minister of the Budget and Economic Planning, Abubakar Bagudu, told State House Correspondents after this week’s Federal Executive Council meeting at Aso Rock Villa, Abuja.

Bagudu announced, “The Federal Executive Council approved a memorandum by the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, which was presented by the Director-General of the Budget Office [Mr Tanimu Yakubu] on the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper for 2025 – 2027.”

The disclosure comes after weeks of delay as President Bola Tinubu prepares to present the 2025 Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly, his second since assuming office in May 2023.

The MTEF, a critical tool the FG uses to outline its fiscal strategy over three years, establishes macroeconomic assumptions and targets that guide national budgeting. It also includes projections of key economic variables such as oil prices, exchange rates, inflation, and growth rates.

For the 2025-2027 period, the MTEF sets out parameters, including an oil price benchmark of $75 per barrel, an oil production target of 2.06 million barrels per day, an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US dollar, and a GDP growth rate of 4.6 percent.

The FG’s projected aggregate expenditure for 2025 is N47.9tn, with planned borrowing of N13.8tn, equating to 3.87 percent of GDP.

The minister explained, “For the 2025-2027 period, the MTEF sets out parameters including an oil price benchmark of $75 per barrel for 2025, oil production of 2.06 million barrels a day, as well as an exchange rate of N1400 to the dollar and GDP growth of 4.6 percent.”

“It is expected that for 2025, the Federal Government’s budget estimate, the aggregate expenditure is estimated at N47tn, and this includes a borrowing of N13.8tn, which is 3.87 percent of the estimated GDP.

“The budget size that was approved for presentation to the National Assembly in the MTEF is N47.9tn with new borrowings of N9.22tn to finance the budget deficit in 2025 as well as noting that we need to sustain the commendable market deregulation of petroleum prices and exchange rate, and to compel the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited to lower its oil and gas production cost significantly, and even to consider the need to amend the relevant sections of the Petroleum Industry Act 2021 to address the significant risk to Federation.”

“The figures were only for 2025, even though there are projections for 2026 and 2027 in the document, which have different figures for the oil price benchmark for the two years,” he added.

Bagudu said Thursday’s memorandum sought the council’s endorsement of the MTEF for submission to the National Assembly, a requirement under the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007.

The MTEF begins with a macroeconomic overview. It notes that despite global economic challenges, the Nigerian economy is on a positive trajectory, showing two consecutive quarters of growth, with a 3.19 percent increase in real terms in the second quarter of 2024, the budget minister explained.

However, he acknowledged the need to combat inflation, strengthen economic resilience, support vulnerable populations, bolster high-employment sectors, improve the business climate, and effectively implement youth and social investment programs.

He revealed that the framework, alongside the FSP, also includes a review of the 2024 budget implementation, highlighting progress in revenue collection and expenditure management, though some targets have fallen short. The report also shows that non-oil revenue streams outperform expectations, Bagudu said.

On the 2024 budget performance, he said, “Actual spending as of August 2024 ending was N16.98tn as against the prorated spending target of N23.37tn at the end.

“Of this amount, N7.41tn was for debt service, and N3.7tn for personnel costs including pension. Further, N3.65tn has been released for capital projects. Most of the delays for capital project release have been earlier legacy issues, in the sense that the new procedure for upload requires a lot of capacity building and delayed uploads.”

N28.75tn was earmarked for the 2024 budget. However, it grew to N35.6tn after amendments by the National Assembly added N6.2tn to the pile.

Responding to queries from journalists, the budget minister said the MTEF would reach the National Assembly on Monday, November 18.

“We are submitting it, I believe, tomorrow [Friday] or, at the latest, on Monday. The office of Mr President will forward the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper to the National Assembly,” he stated.

The minister also argued that despite the late approval for the MTEF, the FG will maintain the January-December budget implementation cycle.

He affirmed, “We are confident because we have built a respectable relationship with the National Assembly. We have narrowed the areas of misunderstanding. And because of that mutual respect, Mr President is very transparent with the National Assembly leadership. And the National Assembly appreciates that openness.

“He [President] has instructed all his teams to ensure we cooperate with the National Assembly. For instance, the team led by the Coordinating Minister of the Economy has been mandated not only to wait but also to engage the National Assembly and answer all questions at the committee hearings.

“So, I’m confident because of this combination of factors. With this cooperation, I believe we’ll see an expeditious consideration, and immediately we are aware of the approval, we will finalize the budget because the MTEF precedes the budget preparation.”

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