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Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Decelerate To 2.9% In 2023 — World Bank

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Nigeria’s economic growth is projected to decelerate to 2.9 percent in 2023 and remain at that pace in 2024, the World Bank has said.

The growth projection, barely above population growth, comes against the backdrop of challenges in the oil and non-oil sectors of the Nigerian economy, the Washington-based institution said in its latest Global Economic Prospects (GEP) released on Tuesday.

The World Bank said that a growth momentum in the non-oil sector is likely to be restrained by continued weakness in the oil sector while existing production and security challenges, and a moderation in oil prices, are expected to hinder a recovery in oil output.

Last December, the bank cut Nigeria’s 2022 growth forecast to 3.1 percent from a previous forecast of 3.8 percent.

In its Nigeria Development Update (NDU), the bank said that the nation had to make hard choices or face a worse economic downturn in the months and years ahead. The revision in growth projection, it added, was due to slow economic growth in the third quarter of 2022, due to a weak performance in critical areas of the economy.

In its latest projection, the bank said policy uncertainty, sustained high inflation, and rising incidence of violence are anticipated to temper growth.

“Growth in agriculture is expected to soften because of the damage from last year’s floods,” it said.

Similarly, the nation’s fiscal position is expected to remain weak because of high borrowing costs, lower energy prices, a sluggish growth of oil production, and a subdued activity in the non-oil sectors.

The bank noted that growth in the Sub-Sahara African region is expected to improve within the period.

“Growth in SSA is projected to edge up in 2023 to 3.6 percent, a 0.2 percentage point downward revision from the June forecast, before picking up to 3.9 percent, in 2024,” it said.

“Even though an expected moderation of global commodity prices should temper cost-of-living increases, tighter policy stances to address elevated inflation and public debt will weigh on domestic demand.”

Meanwhile, the bank said that weakening growth in advanced economies and China is expected to pose headwinds for external demand, particularly among exporters of industrial commodities.

“Constrained access to external financing, tight fiscal space, and high borrowing costs are expected to markedly limit many governments’ ability to spur faster growth,” it said.

Among oil-producing countries, the bank said government debts fell by nearly 10 percent of GDP on average, due to fiscal surpluses and stronger exchange rates.

The global economy is equally projected to grow by 1.7 percent in 2023 and 2.7 percent in 2024, the bank said.

The sharp downturn in growth is expected to be widespread, with forecasts in 2023 revised down for 95 percent of advanced economies and nearly 70 percent of emerging market and developing economies.

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67-Yr-Old Lebanese Jailed 14-Yrs For Sexually Exploiting Two Teenage Girls In Kano

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A Federal High Court in Kano sentenced a 67-year-old Lebanese man, Zuhier R Akar, to 14 years in prison for sexually exploiting two teenage girls.

The National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons (NAPTIP) in Kano State charged Akar with two counts of trafficking and sexual exploitation.

Justice M A. Shu’aibu found the prosecution’s evidence to be beyond a reasonable doubt and sentenced the defendant to 14 years in prison without the option of a fine. The judge also imposed an additional fine of N2 million.

The prosecution said the Department of Security Services reported the matter to NAPTIP on September 5, 2024. Akar allegedly committed the offense on September 4 at his home.

The defendant lured the 14 and 15-year-old girls to his house and sexually exploited them. A video of the act was posted on social media.

The prosecution presented evidence including the defendant’s confession and the victims’ testimony. Akar pleaded guilty.

The defense counsel pleaded for leniency, but Akar was sentenced under the Trafficking in Persons (Prohibition) Enforcement and Administration Act.

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Petrol Price Hike: IPMAN Tackles NNPCL, Threatens To Stop Operations

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The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has issued a threat to halt operations across the nation due to the escalating cost of Premium Motor Spirit, commonly referred to as petrol, which is being sold to its members by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).

On Thursday, IPMAN disclosed that “the cost of petrol from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery to NNPC was about N898/litre,” but noted that NNPC was selling the same product to independent marketers at “N1,010/litre in Lagos.”

Controlling over 70 per cent of filling stations across the country, the association expressed strong opposition and threatened to suspend services. IPMAN also demanded a refund from NNPC for payments made by its members for earlier petrol supplies. This situation has the potential to exacerbate the fuel scarcity and long queues already present in various regions of Nigeria.

On Thursday, it was also learned that members of the Major Energies Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN) were still loading subsidised petrol from Dangote refinery, based on prior arrangements with NNPC.

During a discussion with one of the correspondents, IPMAN’s National Publicity Secretary, Chinedu Ukadike, said the association may be compelled to take action if the ongoing dispute with NNPC is not promptly resolved.

The IPMAN national president, Abubakar Maigandi, previously revealed that NNPC was asking independent marketers to purchase petroleum products from its depot at “N1,010/litre in Lagos State.”

Speaking in a live television interview on Thursday, Maigandi argued that this price exceeded what NNPC paid for the product from the Dangote refinery.

He further mentioned that funds belonging to independent marketers had been held by the national oil company for approximately three months.

According to him, “NNPC purchased the product from the refinery at N898/litre but is asking marketers to buy it at N1,010/litre in Lagos; N1,045 in Calabar; N1,050 in Port Harcourt; and N1,040 in Warri.”

Maigandi emphasized that IPMAN’s funds held by NNPC have accumulated to “N15bn,” and marketers are eager to fully engage in the petrol business and its components following the sector’s deregulation.

He added, “Marketers want to be fully engaged in the business of petrol and its components. NNPC has been the one bringing in the product and loading and has an off-take in the Dangote refinery.

“We are now being allowed to import, and there is no challenge on that issue. What we are after is to get the product directly from Dangote and not through NNPC. Currently, they owe us up to N15bn.”

On Wednesday, NNPC’s retail stations increased the petrol price to “N1,030 from N897/litre in Abuja,” and “N998/litre from N868/litre in Lagos.” Other regions experienced similar hikes, sparking widespread anger among Nigerians.

This second price hike in a month represents an increase of about “14.8 per cent or N133.” The Nigeria Labour Congress and the Organised Private Sector have called for an immediate reversal of the price hikes.

As of now, the price of petrol has surged by over “430 per cent” in the 17 months since the current administration took office on May 29.

When asked if NNPC had reached out to resolve the issue with independent marketers, Ukadike stated that no contact had been made by the oil company.

“There have been no changes or feedback at all. NNPC hasn’t responded to us. They haven’t returned our money. We are still observing what the situation would turn to since they haven’t reached out to us, or probably we would have to withdraw our services if the issue is not resolved.”

Efforts to arrange direct loading from Dangote are ongoing, with a meeting expected to take place soon. Ukadike also mentioned that marketers would sell petrol at a lower rate of “N970/litre” if they could purchase products directly from Dangote.

“Any moment from now, Dangote will invite us, from the fillers we have received,” Ukadike said. “If we start buying from Dangote at its current price, we will sell at N970, lower than the price of NNPC. Dangote sold to NNPCL at N898/litre. But they are asking us to buy from them at their pump price, can you imagine this kind of slavery? We continue to talk about price disparity every day and it’s there for all Nigerians to see.”

Phone calls and messages to NNPC officials to respond to IPMAN’s concerns were not returned at the time of filing this report. Likewise, officials from Dangote refinery did not reply to enquiries regarding IPMAN’s allegations.

Meanwhile, MEMAN stated that it is not being owed by NNPC, attributing this to its integrated storage systems, which shield it from abrupt price shifts in the market.

MEMAN’s Executive Secretary, Clement Isong, explained during a phone conversation, “We have storage tanks, unlike other oil marketers that only have trucks to transport directly to their filling stations. MEMAN is integrated. We have storage tanks, trucks and we have filling stations. So, we have products that we have bought into our storage tanks, which is a big difference from people who buy and take them straight to the station.”

Isong added that MEMAN’s existing relationship with NNPC allows them to adapt when prices fluctuate. He also noted, “Everybody will charge its price according to its business strategy to optimise costs.”

A major oil marketer revealed that MEMAN members are still loading subsidised petrol from Dangote refinery based on prior arrangements with NNPC, though this stock will likely be exhausted within the next two weeks. Thereafter, MEMAN will begin purchasing directly from Dangote refinery.

As the new pricing regime takes hold, one major dealer noted, “I believe the price of PMS has finally been deregulated, and subsidy has finally been eliminated. Henceforth, the price of PMS will be determined by market dynamics.”

The dealer further explained that the government’s decision to sell crude oil to local refineries in naira at a fixed exchange rate will protect consumers from exchange rate fluctuations and reduce the costs of transporting crude to offshore refineries.

“The era of full competition has come to Nigeria. With time, things will settle down, and people will make informed choices. The government should invest in mass transportation, especially with CNG buses.”

Meanwhile, data from MEMAN indicates that the landing cost of petrol has dropped to “N975.89/litre,” while the landing costs of diesel and aviation fuel are “N1,076.35/litre” and “N1,111.97/litre,” respectively.

In Abuja, filling stations have been selling petrol at rates ranging from “N1,025 to N1,120,” depending on location.

NNPC’s recent decision to terminate its exclusive purchase agreement with Dangote refinery has raised concerns about the impact on Nigeria’s economy, with experts warning of a rise in unemployment and a growing strain on businesses.

Dr. Onuche Unekwu, an Associate Professor at the University of Africa in Bayelsa State, said, “As prices rise, demand will fall, leading to increased unemployment rates. This is a concerning cycle that can ensnare many households.”

Victor Agi, an expert at the Centre for Fiscal Transparency and Public Integrity, warned that inflation would spike and small businesses would struggle to cope, stating, “If there’s an increase in transportation and raw material costs, it will affect their businesses. If they lack sufficient funds, they may not be able to continue operations.”

He also suggested that businesses explore alternative energy sources like solar and CNG, although these options may not be affordable for many small enterprises.

Agi further added, “The government should seek alternative energy sources, such as CNG, which is cheaper and abundant. However, it must address the costs associated with transitioning to CNG facilities for average Nigerians.”

 

Credit: The Punch

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Wema Bank Launches #MyTeacherMyHero Challenge To Celebrate Exceptional Educators In Nigeria

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As the world celebrates the invaluable contributions of teachers on World Teachers’ Day, Wema Bank proudly joins this global recognition by launching the #MyTeacherMyHero Challenge to honor and reward exceptional educators in Nigeria. This initiative aligns with the bank’s commitment to the theme, “Valuing Teacher Voices: Towards a New Social Contract for Education.”

Abimbola Agbejule, Head of Corporate Sustainability and Responsibility, shares her thoughts on this initiative: “At Wema Bank, our dedication to education extends far beyond providing financial services. It’s about celebrating the educators who light the path of knowledge for our future leaders.” She added, “Through the #MyTeacherMyHero Challenge, we aim to honor these remarkable teachers while reinforcing our commitment to corporate sustainability. We believe that investing in education is essential for fostering a sustainable future for our communities.”

Wema Bank has consistently demonstrated a steadfast commitment to fostering educational engagement, making a positive impact on society, and promoting personal development through education. This year, the bank is determined to make World Teachers’ Day unforgettable by celebrating the educators who have made a lasting impact on their students’ lives.

The #MyTeacherMyHero Challenge encourages students, alumni, and parents to nominate the teachers who have left an indelible mark on their lives. These teachers deserve to be recognized and celebrated for their outstanding contributions to education and personal development.

Participation is Simple:

1. Follow @WemaBank on Instagram, Twitter, and Facebook.

2. Upload a 1-minute video sharing the story of your most cherished teacher. Explain why they are special and how they have positively impacted your life.

3. Tag @WemaBank and use the hashtag #MyTeacherMyHeroByWema.

The call for entries opened on Monday, 7th October, and closes on Friday, 18th October 2024. The Top 3 teacher nominations will be announced and unveiled on October 25th, 2024, creating excitement and marking a significant moment in the teaching profession.

This initiative reflects Wema Bank’s dedication to education, personal growth, and the individuals who inspire and mold our nation’s future. We invite everyone to participate.

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