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Fuel Importers Will Frustrate Dangote Refinery — Former President Obasanjo

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Former President Olusegun Obasanjo has stated that individuals profiting from fuel importation may attempt to hinder the progress of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

His comments come after Alhaji Aliko Dangote, President of the Dangote Group, alleged that certain ‘mafias’ were trying to frustrate the $20 billion refinery project.

Meanwhile, it has been reported that the Dangote refinery and other domestic refineries have yet to purchase crude oil in naira, despite President Bola Tinubu’s directive to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Obasanjo praised the Dangote refinery as a project that should be welcomed by both Nigerians and foreigners, highlighting its potential benefits.

“Aliko’s investment in a refinery, if it goes well, should encourage both Nigerians and non-Nigerians to invest in Nigeria.

“If those who are selling or supplying refined products for Nigeria feel that they will lose the lucrative opportunity, they will also make every effort to get him frustrated,” Obasanjo stated.

Officials of the Dangote Group recently cried out that international oil companies were frustrating the refinery by refusing to sell crude or by selling to them at a premium up to $4 above the normal price.

They also accused the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Regulatory Authority of deliberately granting licences to individuals to import dirty fuel.

The regulator denied this, saying Dangote diesel was inferior when compared to the imported ones.

The NMDPRA Chief Executive, Farouk Ahmed, also stated that the country would not stop fuel importation to avoid a monopoly by the Dangote Group.

Obasanjo, speaking further, disclosed that Nigeria made a deadly mistake by putting all its eggs in what he called one basket of oil, ignoring gas and agriculture.

“I believe we made a very, very deadly mistake. We put all our eggs in one basket of oil. We even ignored gas. We were flaring gas, which is a very important commodity

“We ignored agriculture, which should have been the centrepiece of our economic development,” Obasanjo stated.

He recalled how he persuaded Shell to run the country’s refineries but the International Oil Company refused, saying there was too much corruption in the sector.

“When I was President, I invited Shell and I said, look, come and take equity participation and run our refineries for us. They refused. They said our refineries have not been well maintained.

“We have brought amateurs rather than bringing professionals. They said there’s too much corruption with the way our refinery is run and maintained. And they didn’t want to get involved in such a mess,” he explained.

On the promises that the refineries will be fixed, he asked, “How many times have they told us that? And at what price?

“Those problems, as far as the government refineries are concerned, have never gone away. They have even increased. So if you have a problem like that and that problem is not removed then you aren’t going anywhere.”

The former President also condemned the style adopted by President Bola Tinubu to remove fuel subsidies, stating that the present administration should have first considered the hardship the subsidy removal could cause people and how to ameliorate the same.

“There’s a lot of work that needs to be done. Not just wake up one morning and say you removed the subsidy. Because of inflation, the subsidy that we have removed is not gone. It has come back,” the former President stressed.

He said there must be investor confidence in Nigeria, adding, “You have to go from transactional economy to transformational economy.”

Obasanjo expressed concern over youths’ restiveness caused by unemployment, fearing that Nigeria might be sitting on a keg of gunpowder.

“Our youth are restive. And they are restive because they have no skill. They have no empowerment. They have no employment. We are all sitting on a keg of gunpowder. And my prayer is that we will do the right thing before it’s too late,” he warned.

It was also gathered on Monday that the Dangote refinery and other local refineries in Nigeria had yet to start buying crude oil from NNPC in naira as directed by President Tinubu.

The Crude Oil Refiners Association of Nigeria said letters have been written to NNPC by individual refiners requesting crude, but there has been no response yet.

The Federal Executive Council recently adopted a proposal by Tinubu to sell crude to the Dangote refinery and other upcoming refineries in naira.

FEC approved that the 450,000 barrels meant for domestic consumption be offered in naira to Nigerian refineries, using the Dangote refinery as a pilot. The exchange rate will be fixed for the duration of this transaction.

However, almost one week after the announcement, the refiners said they had not heard from the NNPC.

The Publicity Secretary of the Crude Oil Refiners Association of Nigeria, Eche Idoko, said the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Authority is expected to kickstart the process.

“We have not started buying crude from NNPC. Individual members have written to them (NNPC) already, and they have several requests from these refineries before them.

“Typically, we would expect our regulator, in this instance, the NMDPRA, to kick start the process by calling for a meeting of all parties to discuss the framework for such supply or have NNPC respond to the various letters to it by the refineries requesting for crude,” Idoko noted.

The CORAN spokesperson had earlier stated that the supply of crude oil to local refineries in naira would bring down the cost of petrol and strengthen the naira against the dollar.

Idoko commended Tinubu for listening to the voice of indigenous refiners but noted that an executive order should be issued on the new directive.

The crude oil refiners also sought a meeting with the economic team to work out a rate that would favour the Nigerian market.

“Yes, we will see a rebound in the pricing of fuel once the President’s order is implemented. Mind you, the pronouncement alone is not enough. It must be with a force of law, either by executive order or by incorporating it into a new guideline so that the crude producers will be bound to sell to us in naira,” Idoko stated.

Dangote refinery and other domestic refiners have been complaining about the difficulties associated with accessing crude oil for their plants. Recently, the management of Dangote Group insisted that the IOCs were still frustrating crude supply to the 650,000-capacity refinery.

In a statement, the group alleged that the IOCs insisted on selling crude oil to its refinery through their foreign agents, saying the local price of crude will continue to increase because the trading arms offer cargoes at $2 to $4 per barrel, above NUPRC official price.

The group also alleged that the foreign oil producers seem to be prioritising Asian countries in selling the crude they produce in Nigeria.

A senior official at the Dangote refinery, who pleaded not to be named due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, confirmed that the plant had yet to start buying crude in naira from NNPC.

BIG STORY

BREAKING: President Tinubu Sacks Women Affairs Minister, 4 Others, Nominates Bianca Ojukwu, 6 Others

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Nigeria’s President, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, has removed Barrister Uju-Ken Ohanenye, the Minister of Women Affairs, and Lola Ade-John, the Minister of Tourism, from their positions.

Additionally, Prof Tahir Mamman, the Minister of Education, Abdullahi Muhammad Gwarzo, the Minister of State for Housing and Urban Development, and Dr. Jamila Bio Ibrahim, the Minister of Youth Development, have also been dismissed.

In a related development, President Tinubu has nominated seven new ministers, including Bianca Ojukwu, Jumoke Oduwole, and five others.

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BIG STORY

JUST IN: Bobrisky Falls Ill In Police Custody, Rushed To Hospital

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Popular crossdresser Idris Okuneye, also known as Bobrisky, has fallen ill while in police custody and has been rushed to a hospital.

Sources disclosed that Bobrisky showed symptoms requiring medical attention, prompting his transfer to the hospital for treatment.

Kenneth Udo, the spokesperson for the Nigeria Immigration Service (NIS) and Deputy Controller of Immigration, confirmed Bobrisky’s arrest at Seme Border on Monday.

Bobrisky’s arrest followed the submission of a report by a Federal Government panel investigating claims that he had not served his six-month jail term in prison. The panel, led by Dr. Magdalene Ajani, Permanent Secretary of the Ministry, found no evidence to support the allegations that Bobrisky didn’t serve his term in prison. However, it noted that he received some privileges during his time.

Bobrisky was apprehended by NIS officials at Seme Border for attempting to flee the country and has remained in their custody since.

Efforts to obtain an update on Bobrisky’s health from DCI Udo were unsuccessful, as he did not respond to calls or text messages.

 

More to come…

Credit: Vanguard.

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BIG STORY

Battle Against Global Inflation Almost Over But Countries Must Prepare For More Economic Shocks — IMF

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says the global battle against inflation is nearing its end, with the rate projected to decline to 3.5 percent by the close of 2025.

The IMF noted that this projection is below the average inflation rate of 3.6 percent recorded between 2000 and 2019.

However, despite the “good news” in the fight against global inflation, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s economic counsellor and director of the research department, warned that countries should brace for more global economic shocks due to rising regional conflicts.

Gourinchas made this statement on Tuesday during the launch of the World Economic Outlook (WEO) report at the ongoing IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Washington DC.

“The battle against inflation is almost won, after peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year. And in most countries, inflation is now hovering close to Central Bank targets,” he said.

Gourinchas said the decline in inflation without a global recession is a major achievement, attributing the progress to the unwinding of supply and demand shocks “that caused the inflation in the first place”.

In addition, the IMF official said improvements in labour supply due to immigration in many advanced countries and monetary policy also played “a decisive” role in keeping inflation expectations anchored.

He said despite the disinflation, risks are now tilted to the downside.

This, according to the IMF economic counsellor, includes rising regional conflicts, especially in the Middle East, which could pose serious risks for commodity markets; shifts toward undesirable trade and industrial policies which could significantly lower output, and a sharp reduction in migration into advanced economies, which can unwind some of the supply gains that helped ease inflation in recent quarters.

“Now to mitigate these downside risks and to strengthen growth, policymakers now need to shift gears and implement a policy triple pivot.

The first pivot on monetary policy is already underway. The decline in inflation paved the way for monetary easing across major central banks.

“This will support activity at a time when labour markets are showing signs of cooling, with rising unemployment rates. However, this rise has been gradual and does not point to an imminent slowdown.”

Gourinchas said lower interest rates in major economies will also ease the pressure on emerging market economies.

Stressing the need to remain vigilant, he said inflation in services remains too elevated, almost double pre-pandemic levels.

The economic counsellor also said a few emerging market economies are seeing rising price pressures, calling for higher policy rates.

“Furthermore, We’ve now entered a world dominated by supply shocks from climate health and geopolitical tensions, and this makes the job central banks harder,” he said.

Given the risks, Gourinchas, therefore, warned that countries need to be prepared and have “some room on the fiscal side” as there will likely be more global economic shocks.

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