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MAN, LCCI, Economists Counter Buhari’s Claim On The Economy

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and economists on Wednesday countered the recent claim made by President Buhari, that the economy under him is better than it was in 2015.

Mr. Ola Adebayo, the Chairman of the Gas Group, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, said Buhari’s admiration’s policies have not translated into positive economic growth and real sector development.

He faulted the administration’s implementation of policies under Buhari, stressing that his administration would not score a pass mark.

Adebayo said, “One thing I have observed is that policy formulation is different from implementation. With the recent events, I don’t think the government has passed. We only have very good policies on paper, but the implementation has been lacking. Once there is no implementation, it becomes just an idea.”

Also, the Deputy-President of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Mr. Gabriel Idahosa, said the reality was at variance with the claims of the President.

He said the current regime has not been able to attract the private sector to invest in critical infrastructures like railways and airports, saying that the government’s economic model is counterproductive and not in the best interest of the economy.

“The business community has been consistent in saying so. It’s not a matter of disagreeing with him. It’s a matter of looking at the facts at the table.”

Idahosa further said, “We don’t need any complicated analysis to see whether the policies are addressing the issues of the business community. Whether it is power supply, the foreign exchange market, whether it’s a model that enables the private sector to invest in infrastructure in a manner that enables the business to thrive, it is clear for all to see.”

On his part, Director-General, of the Nigerian-American Chamber of Commerce, Mr. Sola Obadimu, said Buhari’s assessment of his administration’s economic policies did not reflect the realities on the ground.

According to him, his administration had failed in all economic indices and should be humble to admit it.

He said, “In the past seven years, we have witnessed the most volatile phases in our industrial life. For instance, if we pick the naira valuation as of when he came in and now, you will see the difference. That has been unfriendly to industry.”

He said the benchmark interest rate has been high at 13 percent, making access to capital difficult.

Obama further stated that with the disparity between exchange rates at the official and parallel markets, it was obvious that the government had created certain opportunities for round-tripping in the system and consequently put a strain on business entities who needed foreign exchange for business.

An economist and Chief Executive Officer, Center for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr. Muda Yusuf, said that between 2015 and now, the nation’s economy has recorded over 200 percent currency depreciation.

He said that the investors’ confidence has worsened within the period under review and major indicators show that the economy is lagging.

“I don’t agree with that. Let us look at all the major indicators in the economy. Look at inflation, look at how bad things are and you know the implication of inflation for investments and welfare. The current situation now is almost unprecedented and, of course, you can’t compare that now to what the situation was in 2015. Look at our currency. What was the exchange rate even at the parallel market in 2015 and what is it now? We are talking of depreciation of over 200 percent or even more and that also has a very serious implication. Even the poverty situation in the land is much and the business confidence. Investors’ confidence has worsened between 2015 and now. So, I don’t agree with that assertion.”

Also speaking, the Founder of Cowry Assets Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, said, “I will be belittling myself to comment on issues like that. Let me ask you, what is your take on it? If I were a journalist, I wouldn’t even write about it. That’s how I feel about that comment. Because it just doesn’t make sense for me to be wasting my time talking about it. I need to initiate conversations higher than that level. Because even a daft and a person who didn’t go to school will discuss it. It doesn’t make sense. Somebody said I’ve done well and you want me to discuss it. I guess you understand how I feel about that. It doesn’t make sense for anybody to discuss it.

“It’s not a matter of feeling, it’s how you are living. How much do you buy bread? How much do you pay for transport? How good is light in your area? So, if you want me to comment and speak about the economy, the way forward, and what to expect from the new president, I will, not this,” he said.

A scholar and an Associate Professor at Pan-Atlantic University, Dr. Olalekan Aworinde, said that the only sector that is doing well is oil and gas.

“We cannot say that the economy has fared well because we still have so many indices that tell us that the total values of goods and services produced in Nigeria are nosediving. The only sector that is doing well in the oil sector. It makes about 80 percent of the revenue in Nigeria. If you take a look at the manufacturing and agricultural sectors, they are not at the level we expect. There might be some improvement in agriculture but the kind of farming practiced in Nigeria is still at the subsistence level. In the manufacturing sector, we have more firms folding up probably because of these infrastructures that we expect. There’s no stability in power. The rate at which the Gross Domestic Profit is growing in Nigeria is not fast. It’s increasing at a decreasing rate.”

He also said that the government has pushed a lot of Nigerians into poverty than it has taken people out of poverty.

“Let me talk about price stability, it is worrisome. I don’t know how this government can come out without looking at the statistics at the price level. The last figure that was released by the National Bureau of Statistics a few weeks ago tells us that inflation is close to about 18 percent. So, before they were in government, what were the statistics? So, this government has brought a lot of people more into poverty, absolute poverty than they have taken people out of poverty. I’m not going to agree with President Buhari’s statement. Yes, price stability is the responsibility of the CBN so, in an attempt to maintain this price stability, you would discover, particularly this year, that it has been worrisome. It has been on the increase”

“I do not know what the yardstick that he used. Look at the level of unemployment. If you say you want to reduce the level of unemployment, that means that the level of inflation will be on the increase. But even though there’s an increase in inflation, the level of unemployment is still increasing. It is very clear, that this is not unconnected with the manufacturing sector which is not doing well. The manufacturing sector is not doing well, so which sector will be used to employ the teeming youths that are not employed in Nigeria? The unemployment figure in Nigeria is about 33 percent. So before they assumed office, what was the percentage, and present what is it? This government has taken a lot of loans and the future generations will have to pay for these loans. I do not know where the statistics and the indices that this present government is using to better a lot of Nigerians because as at the last count, the World Bank told us that the present government has made so many Nigerians fall into abject poverty,”

Director of Research and Strategy, Chapel Hill Denham, Mr. Tajudeen Ibrahim, also said, “I think we should look at the major metrics to know if the economy is doing better now than in 2015 and one major metric is the exchange rate. As for the exchange rate, the Naira has lost tremendous value in the past 7years. And that has led to several other factors such as a higher consumer price index over the period. It has also led to great uncertainty for foreign investors in terms of investing in the country,” he concluded

According to statistics, Nigeria experienced two recessions under Buhari, one in 2016 and another in 2020 fuelled by COVID-19.

As of the fourth quarter of 2014, Nigeria’s unemployment rate was 6.2 percent, according to data by the National Bureau of Statistics, NBS. As of the fourth quarter of 2021, the NBS disclosed that the rate in the economy had risen to 33.3 percent, making it one of the worst in the world and signifying a 437 percent increase over the seven years.

As of May 2015, Naira exchanged for dollars at N197/$ at the interbank market and N217/$ at the parallel market. Naira is N415-N420 to a dollar at the Importers and Exporters Window and nearly N603-N610 at the parallel market. The subsidy has since risen from N100 million in 2015 to N4 trillion in 2022.

Inflation is not spared as prices have risen by over 70 percent since Buhari came to power. Inflation has since 2015 risen from 9.01 percent (average number in 2015) to over 17 percent in May 2022.

The Misery Index in 2015 was 47.7 points but it has risen to 50.48 points, meaning that more Nigerians are now more miserable than they were in 2015.

Similarly, in 2018, Nigeria was adjudged by the World Poverty Clock as the world’s poverty capital.

According to the World Bank, the poverty rate was 33.1 percent by the end of 2014/ beginning of 2015, but the poverty rate will likely sit at 42.6 percent in 2022.

BIG STORY

No Regrets Removing Subsidy, Tax Reform Will Go Ahead — President Tinubu

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President Bola Tinubu has emphasized that there is no turning back on the tax reforms bills.

Tinubu, speaking during a media chat in Lagos on Monday, explained that the tax reforms were driven by the need to remove colonial-era assumptions from the nation’s tax system.

The Presidential Media Chat, Tinubu’s first, was broadcast on the Nigerian Television Authority Monday night.

The tax reforms have sparked debate across the country, prompting the House of Representatives to suspend the discussion on the bills, originally scheduled for December 3, following mounting pressure from the governors of the 19 northern states.

The planned debate was canceled after 73 northern lawmakers opposed the bills.

While the reforms have gained support in the South as a means of ensuring more equitable resource distribution, stakeholders argue that resistance from the North stems from concerns over marginalization and economic harm.

Borno State Governor, Babagana Zulum, was quoted in an interview with BBC as saying, “Why the rush? The Petroleum Industry Bill took almost 20 years before it was finally passed. But this tax reform bill is being transmitted and receiving legislative attention within a week. It should be treated carefully and with caution so that even after our exit, our children will reap its benefits.”

“We condemn these bills sent to the National Assembly. They will drag the North backwards and also affect the South East, South West, and some South-Western states like Oyo, Osun, Ekiti, and Ondo.”

The PUNCH reported that on September 3, 2024 President Bola Tinubu transmitted four tax reforms bills to the National Assembly for consideration following the recommendations of the Taiwo Oyedele-led Presidential Committee on Fiscal and Tax Reforms.

The bills include the Nigeria Tax Bill 2024, which aims to provide the fiscal framework for taxation in the country, and the Tax Administration Bill, which will provide a clear and concise legal framework for all taxes in the country and reduce disputes.

Others are the Nigeria Revenue Service Establishment Bill, expected to repeal the Federal Inland Revenue Service Act and establish the Nigeria Revenue Service as well as the Joint Revenue Board Establishment Bill, which will create a tax tribunal and a tax ombudsman.

On October 29, 2024, the Northern Governors Forum, the umbrella body comprising the 19 governors of the region, kicked against the bill, particularly the Value Added Tax-sharing template.

At a gathering in Kaduna, the governors directed federal lawmakers from their respective states to vote against the bills when they came up for debate in both chambers of the National Assembly.

Two days later, the National Economic Council presided over by Vice President Kashim Shettima advised the Federal Government to withdraw the bills to create room for broader consultations among critical stakeholders, a counsel turned down by the President in a statement by his spokesman, Bayo Onanuga.

But the President stressed that tax reforms was pro-poor and aimed at widening the tax net, noting that it was typical for tax reforms to be accompanied by outcries.

He said, “Tax reform is here to say. We cannot just continue to do what we were doing yesteryears in today’s economy. We cannot retool this economy with the old broken tools. The essence of the tax reform is to eliminate colonial-based assumptions in our tax environment. Every tax situation without outcry is not a tax.

“You cannot satisfy uniformly the larger community of tax evaders. This tax reform is pro-poor; the vulnerable are not to pay taxes. All we are asking for is to widen the tax net and bake the cake larger so that we can share a larger meal.

“They will still ask for this consultation no matter how long I delay it. The hallmark of a good leader is the ability to do what you have to do at the time it has to be done. That is my philosophy.”

Questioned about the economic hardship following the subsidy removal, the President said he had no regret as it had become necessary.

Tinubu said removing petrol subsidy was in a bid to save generations to come, noting that the country was already spending its future while giving freebies to neighbouring countries.

He also knocked calls for the phased removal of subsidies, saying the nation was headed for financial disaster.

With the subsidy removal, he said what was imperative was for Nigerians to manage within available resources and shun unnecessary expenses.

“What contingency? We were spending our future. We were spending our generations’ fortunes; we were not investing. We were just deceiving ourselves. That reform is necessary. I could see the smugglers fighting back; that doesn’t affect me. It affects smuggling. Why should you have expenditures that you don’t have revenue for? I don’t want to question people who have acquired limousine kind of vehicles on the road. We should teach management in all our programmes. We have to manage our resources within our means,” Tinubu stated.

“There is no way that you give out fuel and allow all the neighbouring countries as Father Christmas. I don’t have any regret whatsoever in removing the subsidy. It is necessary. We cannot spend our future generations’ investments upfront.

“Phased removal is part of unnecessary fear. No matter how you cut it, you still have to meet the bills. So cut your coat strictly to your size. Management is the issue and we have no choice but to pull the hand brakes, otherwise, we are headed for slippery slopes and in such financial disaster, not just for us, but for our children and grandchildren. Where is the pathway for prosperity?”

The President added that he was not ready to shrink his cabinet, saying all his appointees were adding value.

Declaring that Nigeria was a large country that needed a lot of hands, he said his appointees had specific assignments and what was imperative was efficiency and effectiveness.

Tinubu said his plan in the 2025 budget proposal to reduce inflation from 34 per cent to 15 per cent would be realised by boosting local production and reducing imports.

“If one produces more for consumption locally, stop imports, give a reasonable level of funding and assistance, the low interest rate to farmers, improve the security as you see in the budget so that they can return to their farms and produce more food, encourage the procurement and manufacturing of drugs in Nigeria, we have what it takes.

“Talk to Professor (Ali) Pate, he is doing an excellent job trying to encourage. All I need to do is put the incentive in place in order for them to harness what is possible in Nigeria. It is about time we do all of those. Bring the cost of governance down,” he explained.

On the recent stampedes, Tinubu blamed organisers of the various events in Ibadan, Abuja and Okija, where a total of 67 people, including 35 children, died in their rush for palliatives.

His comments follow a wave of stampedes as people scampered for food items made available by charitable groups and individuals.

In Okija, Anambra State, what was meant to be a Christmas palliative distribution on Saturday turned tragic when 22 persons lost their lives, with several others injured, during an early morning stampede.

The same day in Abuja, another tragedy struck when 10 persons died during an annual Christmas food-sharing event at Holy Trinity Catholic Church, Maitama.

These incidents followed Wednesday’s stampede at the Islamic High School, Basorun, in Ibadan, Oyo State, where several children lost their lives during a holiday funfair celebration, with others rushed to the University College Hospital for medical attention.

“To me, I see this as a very grave error on the part of the organisers,” he said. “Are we looking at it from the organisers point of view or from the goodwill gesture of the people trying to give what they have as extra?

“Sadly, people are not very well organised, we just have to be more disciplined in our society. Condolences to those who lost family members, but it is good to give. I have been giving out food stuff and commodities, including envelopes in Bourdillion for the past 25 years; I have never experienced this kind of incident because we are organised and prone to discipline.

“If you don’t have enough to give, don’t attempt to give or publicise it. Every society has food banks and hungry people. They are organised; they take tokens to be in line and take turns to collect. It is unfortunate. It is reflected at our bus stops, we don’t want to queue, so we rush to board vehicles. We continue to learn from our mistakes.”

On fighting corruption, Tinubu said his efforts in this regard included the removal of subsidy, which he said ended stopped smuggling of the nation’s petroleum resources.

The President said he believed in people having more access to legitimate income as a way to tackle corruption, noting that with increased earnings, allocation to states and local governments had increased.

He also stated that anti-corruption agencies continued to plug loopholes for corruption, noting that the recent discovery of hundreds of duplexes reportedly owned by a former Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, was evidence of his government’s corruption fight.

Tinubu also mentioned the Student Loan as a means to prevent people from subscribing to corruption to fund their education.

While noting that the government cannot eliminate corruption fully, he stated that it had drastically reduced corrupt practices, adding that the increase in minimum wage was also a way to tackle corruption.

The President said, “Corruption in all ramifications is bad. First of all, pay enough attention to the causes. Why are the people corrupt? The lack of social amenities; the lack of needs in some areas; lack of funding for their children’s education. There are so many anti-corruption mechanisms that you can put in place that will help the people not to be corrupt. Pay them good living wages.

“I have moved from N35,000 to N70,000, to me that is anti-corruption. If I can earn more, I have given more money to the states and local governments. I have been transparent with my earnings. Every month, there is a publication as to how much this country is making.

“We got the man who had 735 houses. You don’t know how long it has started. He had fantastic infrastructure; he had a row of houses but we got it. That is anti-corruption too. We got it for the public. The structure, ability to stem corruption is part of the instrument of the EFCC, that is why they are discovering all sorts of inefficiencies in the system. Block all the loopholes where anybody can just game the system.

“Part of the anti-corruption is removal of subsidy. It is very difficult to eliminate but you reduce it to the barest minimum.

“Meet the people’s needs; help them with the education of their children. Our students’ loan is part of anti-corruption. No parent should lament how to encourage their children in university education. It is working for the larger part of the population.”

Asked about how to stem the high price of food items, Tinubu said he believed in increasing agricultural production, not price control.

He said government would continue to work hard to increase supply to the market such that the nation had enough to feed itself and export.

“I don’t believe in price control,” he said.

 

Credit: The Punch

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BIG STORY

Deji Ogunsakin Launches The Better Life Foundation, Donates Food And Cash Gifts To Widows In Ado-Ekiti

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In a commendable act of generosity, Deji Ogunsakin has officially launched The Better Life Foundation, designed to support and uplift the lives of the vulnerable in society.

During the inaugural event, Hon. Ogunsakin donated essential food items and cash gifts to widows in Ado-Ekiti, reaffirming his commitment to making a positive impact in the lives of those in need.

This initiative focuses on promoting welfare and enhancing the quality of life for marginalized groups, with a vision of fostering “hope and resilience in the society.”

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BIG STORY

Tax Reforms Here To Stay, But I Don’t Mind Making Concessions — President Tinubu

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President Bola Tinubu states that the tax reforms initiated by his administration are here to stay.

Speaking at the presidential media chat on Monday, Tinubu explained that the tax reforms were implemented to “eliminate colonial-based assumptions” in the country’s tax environment.

The president emphasized that the country cannot continue to rely on outdated methods in today’s economy.

Tinubu noted that those advocating for more consultations on the tax reform bills will continue to do so even if he postpones presenting the proposed legislation.

“Tax reform is here to stay. In today’s economy, we cannot continue to do what we were doing in the past,” he said.

“The essence of tax reform is to eliminate colonial-based assumptions in our tax environment.”

“Every tax situation without outcry is not a tax. You can’t satisfy uniformly the largest community of tax evaders. Look at this tax reform; it is pro-poor. The vulnerable are not to pay taxes.”

“The hallmark of a good leader is the ability to do what you have to do at the time it ought to be done. That is my philosophy.”

When asked if he was willing to make concessions on the proposed value-added tax (VAT) sharing model, the president replied that he is open to making adjustments.

“Tax matters are subjects of debates, reviews, and negotiations until you reach a consensus. I don’t mind cutting edges. I will,” the president said.

On October 3, Tinubu requested that the national assembly consider and pass the bills.

The legislation includes the Nigeria tax bill, Nigeria tax administration bill, Nigeria Revenue Service establishment bill, and the Joint Revenue Board establishment bill.

One of the bills proposing a new VAT-sharing formula for the federation has faced strong opposition, particularly from northern stakeholders.

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